LM Funding Stock Forward View

LMFA Stock  USD 0.34  0.02  5.56%   
LMFA Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast LM Funding stock prices and determine the direction of LM Funding America's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of LM Funding's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength indicator of LM Funding's share price is below 30 at this time. This indicates that the stock is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling LM Funding America, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 29

 Sell Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of LM Funding's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with LM Funding America, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting LM Funding's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.89)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.31)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(1.71)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(1.72)
Wall Street Target Price
4.5
Using LM Funding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of LM Funding America from the perspective of LM Funding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of LM Funding America on the next trading day is expected to be 0.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.34.

LM Funding after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.34  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of LM Funding to cross-verify your projections.

LM Funding Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine LMFA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for LMFA using various technical indicators. When you analyze LMFA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

LM Funding Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the LM Funding's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2013-12-31
Previous Quarter
837.2 K
Current Value
291.6 K
Quarterly Volatility
7.4 M
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for LM Funding is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of LM Funding America value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

LM Funding Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 4th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of LM Funding America on the next trading day is expected to be 0.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.34.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict LMFA Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that LM Funding's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

LM Funding Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest LM Funding  LM Funding Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

LM Funding Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting LM Funding's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. LM Funding's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 6.81, respectively. We have considered LM Funding's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.34
0.25
Expected Value
6.81
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of LM Funding stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent LM Funding stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.6964
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0547
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.08
SAESum of the absolute errors3.3364
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of LM Funding America. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict LM Funding. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for LM Funding

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LM Funding America. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.346.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.336.89
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
4.104.505.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as LM Funding. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against LM Funding's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, LM Funding's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in LM Funding America.

LM Funding After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of LM Funding at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in LM Funding or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of LM Funding, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

LM Funding Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting LM Funding's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on LM Funding's historical news coverage. LM Funding's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.02 and 6.90, respectively. We have considered LM Funding's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.34
0.34
After-hype Price
6.90
Upside
LM Funding is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of LM Funding America is based on 3 months time horizon.

LM Funding Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as LM Funding is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading LM Funding backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with LM Funding, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.72 
6.56
  0.03 
  0.73 
10 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.34
0.34
0.00 
32,800  
Notes

LM Funding Hype Timeline

LM Funding America is now traded for 0.34. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.73. LMFA is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -1.72%. %. The volatility of related hype on LM Funding is about 1545.55%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.07. About 20.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.12. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. LM Funding America recorded a loss per share of 2.59. The entity last dividend was issued on the 16th of October 2018. The firm had 1:6 split on the 12th of March 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of LM Funding to cross-verify your projections.

LM Funding Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to LM Funding's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict LM Funding's future price movements. Getting to know how LM Funding's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how LM Funding may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
NISNNisun International Enterprise 0.17 7 per month 0.00 (0.23) 5.21 (11.02) 51.13 
ABTSAbits Group(0.24)8 per month 0.00 (0.13) 10.52 (9.92) 26.96 
BLZRWTrailblazer Acquisition Corp(0.02)3 per month 0.00 (0.13) 14.58 (12.16) 33.24 
ATIIArchimedes Tech SPAC 0.00 6 per month 0.00 (0.06) 0.39 (0.29) 1.14 
PRHIPresurance Holdings(0.05)3 per month 0.00 (0.15) 11.11 (8.97) 34.28 
CARVCarver Bancorp 0.05 8 per month 0.00 (0.06) 13.17 (13.85) 53.88 
IPCXInflection Point Acquisition 0.00 3 per month 0.00 (0.31) 0.49 (0.39) 1.08 
NPACNew Providence Acquisition(0.03)2 per month 0.14 (0.28) 0.29 (0.29) 0.68 
CNFCNFinance Holdings 3.94 7 per month 4.56  0.07  9.70 (9.12) 26.22 

Other Forecasting Options for LM Funding

For every potential investor in LMFA, whether a beginner or expert, LM Funding's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. LMFA Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in LMFA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying LM Funding's price trends.

LM Funding Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with LM Funding stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of LM Funding could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing LM Funding by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

LM Funding Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how LM Funding stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading LM Funding shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying LM Funding stock market strength indicators, traders can identify LM Funding America entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

LM Funding Risk Indicators

The analysis of LM Funding's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in LM Funding's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lmfa stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for LM Funding

The number of cover stories for LM Funding depends on current market conditions and LM Funding's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that LM Funding is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about LM Funding's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

LM Funding Short Properties

LM Funding's future price predictability will typically decrease when LM Funding's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of LM Funding America often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential LM Funding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LM Funding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.4 M
When determining whether LM Funding America offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of LM Funding's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Lm Funding America Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Lm Funding America Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of LM Funding to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Is Specialized Finance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of LM Funding. Expected growth trajectory for LMFA significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive LM Funding assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.89)
Earnings Share
(2.59)
Revenue Per Share
1.263
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.717
Return On Assets
(0.15)
Investors evaluate LM Funding America using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating LM Funding's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause LM Funding's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that LM Funding's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether LM Funding represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, LM Funding's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.