LM Funding Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

LMFA Stock  USD 0.50  0.06  13.82%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of LM Funding America on the next trading day is expected to be 0.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.94. LMFA Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast LM Funding stock prices and determine the direction of LM Funding America's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of LM Funding's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the relative strength indicator of LM Funding's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of LM Funding's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with LM Funding America, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting LM Funding's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.89)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.31)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(1.71)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(1.72)
Wall Street Target Price
4.5
Using LM Funding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of LM Funding America from the perspective of LM Funding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

LM Funding America Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to LM Funding's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in LMFA. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding LMFA can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around LM Funding America. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of LM Funding's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about LM Funding.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of LM Funding America on the next trading day is expected to be 0.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.94.

LM Funding after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.65  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of LM Funding to cross-verify your projections.
At present, LM Funding's Inventory Turnover is projected to drop slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Payables Turnover is expected to grow to 6.68, whereas Fixed Asset Turnover is forecasted to decline to 0.62. . The current year's Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to grow to about 3.4 M. The current year's Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to grow to about 4.5 M.

LM Funding Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine LMFA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for LMFA using various technical indicators. When you analyze LMFA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

LM Funding Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the LM Funding's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2013-12-31
Previous Quarter
837.2 K
Current Value
291.6 K
Quarterly Volatility
7.4 M
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for LM Funding is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of LM Funding America value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

LM Funding Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of LM Funding America on the next trading day is expected to be 0.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.94.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict LMFA Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that LM Funding's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

LM Funding Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest LM FundingLM Funding Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

LM Funding Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting LM Funding's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. LM Funding's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 7.51, respectively. We have considered LM Funding's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.50
0.40
Expected Value
7.51
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of LM Funding stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent LM Funding stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.0362
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0646
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0755
SAESum of the absolute errors3.938
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of LM Funding America. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict LM Funding. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for LM Funding

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LM Funding America. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.657.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.071.498.60
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
4.104.505.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as LM Funding. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against LM Funding's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, LM Funding's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in LM Funding America.

Other Forecasting Options for LM Funding

For every potential investor in LMFA, whether a beginner or expert, LM Funding's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. LMFA Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in LMFA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying LM Funding's price trends.

LM Funding Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with LM Funding stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of LM Funding could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing LM Funding by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

LM Funding America Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of LM Funding's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of LM Funding's current price.

LM Funding Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how LM Funding stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading LM Funding shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying LM Funding stock market strength indicators, traders can identify LM Funding America entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

LM Funding Risk Indicators

The analysis of LM Funding's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in LM Funding's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lmfa stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether LM Funding America offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of LM Funding's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Lm Funding America Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Lm Funding America Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of LM Funding to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
Is Specialized Finance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of LM Funding. If investors know LMFA will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about LM Funding listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.89)
Earnings Share
(2.59)
Revenue Per Share
1.263
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.717
Return On Assets
(0.15)
The market value of LM Funding America is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of LMFA that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of LM Funding's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is LM Funding's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because LM Funding's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect LM Funding's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between LM Funding's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if LM Funding is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, LM Funding's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.