Lockheed Martin Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

LMT Stock  ARS 37,220  120.00  0.32%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Lockheed Martin Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 37,220 with a mean absolute deviation of 522.67 and the sum of the absolute errors of 31,360. Lockheed Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Lockheed Martin stock prices and determine the direction of Lockheed Martin Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Lockheed Martin's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, The value of RSI of Lockheed Martin's share price is at 52. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Lockheed Martin, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 52

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Lockheed Martin's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Lockheed Martin Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Lockheed Martin hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lockheed Martin Corp from the perspective of Lockheed Martin response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Lockheed Martin Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 37,220 with a mean absolute deviation of 522.67 and the sum of the absolute errors of 31,360.

Lockheed Martin after-hype prediction price

    
  ARS 37220.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lockheed Martin to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Lockheed Stock refer to our How to Trade Lockheed Stock guide.

Lockheed Martin Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Lockheed price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lockheed using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lockheed charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Lockheed Martin simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Lockheed Martin Corp are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Lockheed Martin Corp prices get older.

Lockheed Martin Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Lockheed Martin Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 37,220 with a mean absolute deviation of 522.67, mean absolute percentage error of 572,940, and the sum of the absolute errors of 31,360.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lockheed Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lockheed Martin's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Lockheed Martin Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Lockheed MartinLockheed Martin Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Lockheed Martin Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Lockheed Martin's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lockheed Martin's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 37,218 and 37,222, respectively. We have considered Lockheed Martin's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
37,220
37,218
Downside
37,220
Expected Value
37,222
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lockheed Martin stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lockheed Martin stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria129.5312
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 44.6667
MADMean absolute deviation522.6663
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0145
SAESum of the absolute errors31359.98
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Lockheed Martin Corp forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Lockheed Martin observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Lockheed Martin

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lockheed Martin Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
37,21837,22037,222
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
31,01931,02140,942
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
33,21635,91538,614
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Lockheed Martin

For every potential investor in Lockheed, whether a beginner or expert, Lockheed Martin's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lockheed Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lockheed. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lockheed Martin's price trends.

Lockheed Martin Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lockheed Martin stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lockheed Martin could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lockheed Martin by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Lockheed Martin Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Lockheed Martin's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Lockheed Martin's current price.

Lockheed Martin Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lockheed Martin stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lockheed Martin shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lockheed Martin stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lockheed Martin Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Lockheed Martin Risk Indicators

The analysis of Lockheed Martin's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lockheed Martin's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lockheed stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Lockheed Stock

Lockheed Martin financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lockheed Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lockheed with respect to the benefits of owning Lockheed Martin security.