Linedata Services Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

LN4 Stock  EUR 41.90  0.20  0.48%   
Linedata Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Linedata Services' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 4th of February 2026, the relative strength indicator of Linedata Services' share price is approaching 42. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Linedata Services, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 42

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Linedata Services' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Linedata Services and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Linedata Services' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Linedata Services SA, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Linedata Services' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.22)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.04)
Using Linedata Services hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Linedata Services SA from the perspective of Linedata Services response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Linedata Services SA on the next trading day is expected to be 41.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41 and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.50.

Linedata Services after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 41.74  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Linedata Services to cross-verify your projections.

Linedata Services Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Linedata price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Linedata using various technical indicators. When you analyze Linedata charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Linedata Services simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Linedata Services SA are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Linedata Services prices get older.

Linedata Services Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 5th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Linedata Services SA on the next trading day is expected to be 41.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41, mean absolute percentage error of 0.33, and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.50.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Linedata Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Linedata Services' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Linedata Services Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Linedata Services  Linedata Services Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Linedata Services Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Linedata Services' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Linedata Services' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 40.54 and 43.26, respectively. We have considered Linedata Services' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
41.90
41.90
Expected Value
43.26
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Linedata Services stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Linedata Services stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.1745
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0383
MADMean absolute deviation0.4083
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0094
SAESum of the absolute errors24.5
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Linedata Services SA forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Linedata Services observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Linedata Services

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Linedata Services. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
40.3841.7443.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
41.0842.4443.80
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
38.1143.3848.66
Details

Linedata Services After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Linedata Services at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Linedata Services or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Linedata Services, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Linedata Services Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Linedata Services' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Linedata Services' historical news coverage. Linedata Services' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 40.38 and 43.10, respectively. We have considered Linedata Services' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
41.90
41.74
After-hype Price
43.10
Upside
Linedata Services is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Linedata Services is based on 3 months time horizon.

Linedata Services Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Linedata Services is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Linedata Services backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Linedata Services, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.08 
1.36
  0.16 
  2.12 
2 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
41.90
41.74
0.38 
68.00  
Notes

Linedata Services Hype Timeline

Linedata Services is now traded for 41.90on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.16, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 2.12. Linedata is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 41.74. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 68.0%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.38%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Linedata Services is about 5.14%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 44.02. About 80.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.7. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Linedata Services recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.22. The entity last dividend was issued on the 8th of July 2025. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Linedata Services to cross-verify your projections.

Linedata Services Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Linedata Services' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Linedata Services' future price movements. Getting to know how Linedata Services' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Linedata Services may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Linedata Services

For every potential investor in Linedata, whether a beginner or expert, Linedata Services' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Linedata Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Linedata. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Linedata Services' price trends.

Linedata Services Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Linedata Services stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Linedata Services could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Linedata Services by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Linedata Services Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Linedata Services stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Linedata Services shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Linedata Services stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Linedata Services SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Linedata Services Risk Indicators

The analysis of Linedata Services' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Linedata Services' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting linedata stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Linedata Services

The number of cover stories for Linedata Services depends on current market conditions and Linedata Services' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Linedata Services is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Linedata Services' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Linedata Stock

Linedata Services financial ratios help investors to determine whether Linedata Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Linedata with respect to the benefits of owning Linedata Services security.