Lincoln Electric Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| LNE Stock | EUR 204.00 2.00 0.97% |
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Lincoln Electric Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 204.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 130.58. Lincoln Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Lincoln Electric's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Lincoln |
Lincoln Electric Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Lincoln Electric Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 204.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.21, mean absolute percentage error of 11.27, and the sum of the absolute errors of 130.58.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lincoln Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lincoln Electric's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Lincoln Electric Stock Forecast Pattern
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Lincoln Electric Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Lincoln Electric's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lincoln Electric's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 202.79 and 206.63, respectively. We have considered Lincoln Electric's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lincoln Electric stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lincoln Electric stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.5257 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.2131 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.012 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 130.5757 |
Predictive Modules for Lincoln Electric
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lincoln Electric Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Lincoln Electric
For every potential investor in Lincoln, whether a beginner or expert, Lincoln Electric's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lincoln Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lincoln. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lincoln Electric's price trends.Lincoln Electric Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lincoln Electric stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lincoln Electric could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lincoln Electric by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Lincoln Electric Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Lincoln Electric's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Lincoln Electric's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Lincoln Electric Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lincoln Electric stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lincoln Electric shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lincoln Electric stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lincoln Electric Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | (9,223,372,036,855) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 204.0 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 204.0 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.00) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (2.00) |
Lincoln Electric Risk Indicators
The analysis of Lincoln Electric's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lincoln Electric's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lincoln stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.25 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.45 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.92 | |||
| Variance | 3.7 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.55 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.1 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.55) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Lincoln Stock
When determining whether Lincoln Electric Holdings offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Lincoln Electric's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Lincoln Electric Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Lincoln Electric Holdings Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lincoln Electric to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.