Lords Grp Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

LORD Stock   36.20  0.30  0.82%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Lords Grp Trading on the next trading day is expected to be 32.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.98 and the sum of the absolute errors of 59.72. Lords Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Lords Grp's Other Liabilities is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Non Currrent Assets Other is likely to gain to about 250.1 K in 2024, whereas Short and Long Term Debt Total is likely to drop slightly above 63.7 M in 2024.
A naive forecasting model for Lords Grp is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Lords Grp Trading value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Lords Grp Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Lords Grp Trading on the next trading day is expected to be 32.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.98, mean absolute percentage error of 1.49, and the sum of the absolute errors of 59.72.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lords Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lords Grp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Lords Grp Stock Forecast Pattern

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Lords Grp Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Lords Grp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lords Grp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 29.82 and 35.13, respectively. We have considered Lords Grp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
36.20
32.47
Expected Value
35.13
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lords Grp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lords Grp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.5109
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.979
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0259
SAESum of the absolute errors59.7165
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Lords Grp Trading. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Lords Grp. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Lords Grp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lords Grp Trading. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
33.5436.2038.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
29.1731.8339.82
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.701.791.95
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Lords Grp

For every potential investor in Lords, whether a beginner or expert, Lords Grp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lords Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lords. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lords Grp's price trends.

Lords Grp Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lords Grp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lords Grp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lords Grp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Lords Grp Trading Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Lords Grp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Lords Grp's current price.

Lords Grp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lords Grp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lords Grp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lords Grp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lords Grp Trading entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Lords Grp Risk Indicators

The analysis of Lords Grp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lords Grp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lords stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Lords Stock Analysis

When running Lords Grp's price analysis, check to measure Lords Grp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lords Grp is operating at the current time. Most of Lords Grp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lords Grp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lords Grp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lords Grp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.