Lowes Companies Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| LOWC34 Stock | BRL 73.50 0.00 0.00% |
Lowes Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Lowes Companies stock prices and determine the direction of Lowes Companies's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Lowes Companies' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, the value of RSI of Lowes Companies' share price is approaching 41. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Lowes Companies, making its price go up or down. Momentum 41
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Lowes Companies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lowes Companies from the perspective of Lowes Companies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Lowes Companies on the next trading day is expected to be 74.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.77 and the sum of the absolute errors of 107.98. Lowes Companies after-hype prediction price | BRL 73.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Lowes |
Lowes Companies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lowes price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lowes using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lowes charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Lowes Companies Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 21st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Lowes Companies on the next trading day is expected to be 74.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.77, mean absolute percentage error of 4.68, and the sum of the absolute errors of 107.98.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lowes Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lowes Companies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Lowes Companies Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Lowes Companies | Lowes Companies Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Lowes Companies Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Lowes Companies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lowes Companies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 72.55 and 75.76, respectively. We have considered Lowes Companies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lowes Companies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lowes Companies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.6532 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.7701 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0255 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 107.9767 |
Predictive Modules for Lowes Companies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lowes Companies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lowes Companies After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lowes Companies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lowes Companies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lowes Companies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Lowes Companies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lowes Companies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lowes Companies' historical news coverage. Lowes Companies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 71.90 and 75.10, respectively. We have considered Lowes Companies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lowes Companies is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lowes Companies is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lowes Companies Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lowes Companies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lowes Companies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lowes Companies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.36 | 1.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
73.50 | 73.50 | 0.00 |
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Lowes Companies Hype Timeline
Lowes Companies is now traded for 73.50on Sao Paulo Exchange of Brazil. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Lowes is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.36%. %. The volatility of related hype on Lowes Companies is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 73.50. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.02. Lowes Companies last dividend was issued on the 24th of January 2023. The entity had 1:10 split on the 28th of November 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lowes Companies to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Lowes Stock refer to our How to Trade Lowes Stock guide.Lowes Companies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lowes Companies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lowes Companies' future price movements. Getting to know how Lowes Companies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lowes Companies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| M1CB34 | Molson Coors Beverage | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.73 | |
| G2DI33 | G2D Investments | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.07 | (0.01) | 4.29 | (3.85) | 11.55 | |
| P1SA34 | Public Storage | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.40 | 0.04 | 2.82 | (1.87) | 24.21 | |
| M1LC34 | Melco Resorts Entertainment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0 | 1.03 | (0.68) | 54.87 | |
| CLOV34 | Clover Health Investments | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 5.69 | (5.28) | 25.01 | |
| C2ZR34 | Caesars Entertainment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.93 | (5.36) | 19.61 | |
| D1DG34 | Datadog | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 5.03 | (7.11) | 18.03 |
Other Forecasting Options for Lowes Companies
For every potential investor in Lowes, whether a beginner or expert, Lowes Companies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lowes Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lowes. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lowes Companies' price trends.Lowes Companies Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lowes Companies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lowes Companies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lowes Companies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Lowes Companies Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lowes Companies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lowes Companies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lowes Companies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lowes Companies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Lowes Companies Risk Indicators
The analysis of Lowes Companies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lowes Companies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lowes stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7428 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.5461 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.54 | |||
| Variance | 2.38 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.13 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.2982 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.15) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Lowes Companies
The number of cover stories for Lowes Companies depends on current market conditions and Lowes Companies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lowes Companies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lowes Companies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Lowes Companies Short Properties
Lowes Companies' future price predictability will typically decrease when Lowes Companies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lowes Companies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lowes Companies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lowes Companies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 673.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 B |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Lowes Stock
When determining whether Lowes Companies is a strong investment it is important to analyze Lowes Companies' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Lowes Companies' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Lowes Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lowes Companies to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Lowes Stock refer to our How to Trade Lowes Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.