Dorian LPG Stock Forward View

LPG Stock  USD 29.53  0.21  0.71%   
Dorian Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Dorian LPG's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The value of relative strength index of Dorian LPG's stock price is roughly 60. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 2nd of February 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Dorian, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 60

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Dorian LPG's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Dorian LPG and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Dorian LPG's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Dorian LPG, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Dorian LPG's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
4.909
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.4494
EPS Estimate Current Year
4.2367
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.86
Wall Street Target Price
33.25
Using Dorian LPG hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Dorian LPG from the perspective of Dorian LPG response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Dorian LPG using Dorian LPG's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Dorian using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Dorian LPG's stock price.

Dorian LPG Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Dorian LPG's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Dorian. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Dorian LPG stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
26.6673
Short Percent
0.0509
Short Ratio
3.19
Shares Short Prior Month
1.5 M
50 Day MA
25.9726

Dorian Relative Strength Index

The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Dorian LPG on the next trading day is expected to be 28.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.56 and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.88.

Dorian LPG Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Dorian LPG's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Dorian. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Dorian can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Dorian LPG. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Dorian LPG's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Dorian LPG.

Dorian LPG Implied Volatility

    
  0.38  
Dorian LPG's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Dorian LPG stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Dorian LPG's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Dorian LPG stock will not fluctuate a lot when Dorian LPG's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Dorian LPG on the next trading day is expected to be 28.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.56 and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.88.

Dorian LPG after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 29.53  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dorian LPG to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Dorian Stock please use our How to Invest in Dorian LPG guide.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Dorian contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Dorian LPG will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0238% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Dorian LPG trading at USD 29.53, that is roughly USD 0.007013 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Dorian LPG's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Dorian LPG options at the current volatility level of 0.38%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Dorian Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Dorian LPG's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Dorian LPG's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Dorian LPG stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Dorian LPG's open interest, investors have to compare it to Dorian LPG's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Dorian LPG is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Dorian. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Dorian LPG Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Dorian price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Dorian using various technical indicators. When you analyze Dorian charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Dorian LPG Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Dorian LPG's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2012-03-31
Previous Quarter
277.9 M
Current Value
268.3 M
Quarterly Volatility
107.2 M
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for Dorian LPG is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Dorian LPG value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Dorian LPG Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Dorian LPG on the next trading day is expected to be 28.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.56, mean absolute percentage error of 0.53, and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.88.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Dorian Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Dorian LPG's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Dorian LPG Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Dorian LPG  Dorian LPG Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Dorian LPG Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Dorian LPG's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Dorian LPG's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 26.14 and 30.42, respectively. We have considered Dorian LPG's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
29.53
28.28
Expected Value
30.42
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Dorian LPG stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Dorian LPG stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.4717
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.5554
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.021
SAESum of the absolute errors33.8789
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Dorian LPG. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Dorian LPG. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Dorian LPG

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dorian LPG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.4029.5331.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.5423.6732.48
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
24.0027.5431.09
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
30.2633.2536.91
Details

Dorian LPG After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Dorian LPG at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Dorian LPG or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Dorian LPG, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Dorian LPG Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Dorian LPG's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Dorian LPG's historical news coverage. Dorian LPG's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 27.40 and 31.66, respectively. We have considered Dorian LPG's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
29.53
29.53
After-hype Price
31.66
Upside
Dorian LPG is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Dorian LPG is based on 3 months time horizon.

Dorian LPG Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Dorian LPG is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Dorian LPG backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Dorian LPG, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.09 
2.14
  0.07 
  0.01 
10 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
29.53
29.53
0.00 
260.98  
Notes

Dorian LPG Hype Timeline

On the 2nd of February Dorian LPG is traded for 29.53. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Dorian is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on Dorian LPG is about 3194.03%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 29.52. About 14.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.19. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Dorian LPG last dividend was issued on the 9th of February 2026. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dorian LPG to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Dorian Stock please use our How to Invest in Dorian LPG guide.

Dorian LPG Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Dorian LPG's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Dorian LPG's future price movements. Getting to know how Dorian LPG's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Dorian LPG may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
NVGSNavigator Holdings(0.06)12 per month 0.80  0.14  2.82 (1.42) 7.71 
FLNGFLEX LNG 0.06 9 per month 1.24  0.07  2.55 (1.91) 8.17 
NESRNational Energy Services(0.15)8 per month 1.81  0.22  7.21 (3.09) 22.01 
RESRPC Inc 1.04 4 per month 1.79  0.18  5.14 (2.96) 18.92 
VTOLBristow Group(0.46)9 per month 2.09  0.08  3.40 (3.37) 11.04 
GLPGlobal Partners LP(1.28)9 per month 1.86  0.03  3.06 (2.99) 9.17 
VETVermilion Energy(0.65)2 per month 2.07  0.15  4.96 (3.39) 13.03 
MRCMRC Global 0.34 5 per month 0.00 (0.04) 3.27 (4.18) 11.50 
DMLPDorchester Minerals LP 0.62 8 per month 1.44  0.01  3.25 (2.60) 6.59 
NPKINPK International(0.13)7 per month 2.35  0.03  3.96 (3.24) 12.44 

Other Forecasting Options for Dorian LPG

For every potential investor in Dorian, whether a beginner or expert, Dorian LPG's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Dorian Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Dorian. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Dorian LPG's price trends.

Dorian LPG Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Dorian LPG stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Dorian LPG could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dorian LPG by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Dorian LPG Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Dorian LPG stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dorian LPG shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Dorian LPG stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Dorian LPG entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Dorian LPG Risk Indicators

The analysis of Dorian LPG's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Dorian LPG's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dorian stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Dorian LPG

The number of cover stories for Dorian LPG depends on current market conditions and Dorian LPG's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Dorian LPG is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Dorian LPG's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Dorian LPG Short Properties

Dorian LPG's future price predictability will typically decrease when Dorian LPG's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Dorian LPG often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Dorian LPG's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dorian LPG's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding42.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments316.9 M
When determining whether Dorian LPG is a strong investment it is important to analyze Dorian LPG's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Dorian LPG's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Dorian Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dorian LPG to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Dorian Stock please use our How to Invest in Dorian LPG guide.
You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
Can Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation industry sustain growth momentum? Does Dorian have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Dorian LPG. Expected growth trajectory for Dorian significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Dorian LPG demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
4.909
Dividend Share
2.45
Earnings Share
2.2
Revenue Per Share
8.443
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.466
The market value of Dorian LPG is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Dorian that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Dorian LPG's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Dorian LPG's true underlying value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Because Dorian LPG's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Dorian LPG's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Dorian LPG's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Dorian LPG represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Dorian LPG's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.