LPP SA Pink Sheet Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| LPPSY Stock | USD 20.41 0.00 0.00% |
LPP Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of LPP SA's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using LPP SA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of LPP SA from the perspective of LPP SA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of LPP SA on the next trading day is expected to be 20.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. LPP SA after-hype prediction price | USD 20.41 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
LPP |
LPP SA Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine LPP price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for LPP using various technical indicators. When you analyze LPP charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
LPP SA Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 7th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of LPP SA on the next trading day is expected to be 20.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict LPP Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that LPP SA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
LPP SA Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest LPP SA | LPP SA Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
LPP SA Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting LPP SA's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. LPP SA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 20.41 and 20.41, respectively. We have considered LPP SA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of LPP SA pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent LPP SA pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for LPP SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LPP SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of LPP SA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
LPP SA After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of LPP SA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in LPP SA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of LPP SA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
LPP SA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting LPP SA's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on LPP SA's historical news coverage. LPP SA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 20.41 and 20.41, respectively. We have considered LPP SA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
LPP SA is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of LPP SA is based on 3 months time horizon.
LPP SA Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as LPP SA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading LPP SA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with LPP SA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
20.41 | 20.41 | 0.00 |
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LPP SA Hype Timeline
LPP SA is now traded for 20.41. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. LPP is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on LPP SA is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.41. The company last dividend was issued on the 9th of June 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of LPP SA to cross-verify your projections.LPP SA Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to LPP SA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict LPP SA's future price movements. Getting to know how LPP SA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how LPP SA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PETRY | Petrobras Distribuidora SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.87 | 0.14 | 7.85 | (5.02) | 20.07 | |
| ALEGF | Allegroeu SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 35.56 | |
| NGKSF | NGK Spark Plug | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 45.42 | |
| MNTHF | Minth Group Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ANTOF | Iida Group Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MKKOF | Marimekko Oyj | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| DITHF | DS Smith PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.19 | 10.69 | (1.92) | 24.47 | |
| MDIYF | Mr DIY Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.67 | |
| BRBOY | Brembo SpA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NHHEF | NH Hotel Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for LPP SA
For every potential investor in LPP, whether a beginner or expert, LPP SA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. LPP Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in LPP. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying LPP SA's price trends.LPP SA Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with LPP SA pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of LPP SA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing LPP SA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
LPP SA Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how LPP SA pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading LPP SA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying LPP SA pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify LPP SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Story Coverage note for LPP SA
The number of cover stories for LPP SA depends on current market conditions and LPP SA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that LPP SA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about LPP SA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for LPP Pink Sheet Analysis
When running LPP SA's price analysis, check to measure LPP SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy LPP SA is operating at the current time. Most of LPP SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of LPP SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move LPP SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of LPP SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.