Dextech Medical Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

LQ0 Stock   1.02  0.02  1.92%   
Dextech Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Dextech Medical's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 2nd of February 2026 the rsi of Dextech Medical's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Dextech Medical's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Dextech Medical and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Dextech Medical's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Dextech Medical AB, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Dextech Medical's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.414
Using Dextech Medical hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Dextech Medical AB from the perspective of Dextech Medical response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Dextech Medical AB on the next trading day is expected to be 1.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.11.

Dextech Medical after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 1.15  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dextech Medical to cross-verify your projections.

Dextech Medical Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Dextech price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Dextech using various technical indicators. When you analyze Dextech charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Dextech Medical simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Dextech Medical AB are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Dextech Medical AB prices get older.

Dextech Medical Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Dextech Medical AB on the next trading day is expected to be 1.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.11.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Dextech Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Dextech Medical's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Dextech Medical Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Dextech Medical  Dextech Medical Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Dextech Medical Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Dextech Medical's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Dextech Medical's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 6.54, respectively. We have considered Dextech Medical's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.02
1.02
Expected Value
6.54
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Dextech Medical stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Dextech Medical stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria73.2557
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0097
MADMean absolute deviation0.0277
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0339
SAESum of the absolute errors1.11
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Dextech Medical AB forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Dextech Medical observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Dextech Medical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dextech Medical AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.156.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.816.33
Details

Dextech Medical After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Dextech Medical at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Dextech Medical or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Dextech Medical, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Dextech Medical Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Dextech Medical's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Dextech Medical's historical news coverage. Dextech Medical's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.06 and 6.67, respectively. We have considered Dextech Medical's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1.02
1.15
After-hype Price
6.67
Upside
Dextech Medical is abnormally volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Dextech Medical AB is based on 3 months time horizon.

Dextech Medical Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Dextech Medical is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Dextech Medical backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Dextech Medical, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.32 
5.52
  0.13 
  0.31 
1 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.02
1.15
12.75 
5,520  
Notes

Dextech Medical Hype Timeline

Dextech Medical AB is now traded for 1.02on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.31. Dextech is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 1.15 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is forecasted to be 12.75%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 1.32%. The volatility of related hype on Dextech Medical is about 2313.77%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.71. Dextech Medical AB has accumulated 336.85 K in total debt. Debt can assist Dextech Medical until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Dextech Medical's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Dextech Medical AB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Dextech to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Dextech Medical's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be very soon.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dextech Medical to cross-verify your projections.

Dextech Medical Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Dextech Medical's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Dextech Medical's future price movements. Getting to know how Dextech Medical's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Dextech Medical may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Dextech Medical

For every potential investor in Dextech, whether a beginner or expert, Dextech Medical's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Dextech Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Dextech. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Dextech Medical's price trends.

Dextech Medical Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Dextech Medical stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Dextech Medical could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dextech Medical by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Dextech Medical Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Dextech Medical stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dextech Medical shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Dextech Medical stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Dextech Medical AB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Dextech Medical Risk Indicators

The analysis of Dextech Medical's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Dextech Medical's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dextech stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Dextech Medical

The number of cover stories for Dextech Medical depends on current market conditions and Dextech Medical's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Dextech Medical is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Dextech Medical's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Dextech Stock

Dextech Medical financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dextech Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dextech with respect to the benefits of owning Dextech Medical security.