Liquidia Technologies Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| LQDA Stock | USD 31.95 0.96 3.10% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Liquidia Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 29.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.78 and the sum of the absolute errors of 47.67. Liquidia Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Liquidia Technologies stock prices and determine the direction of Liquidia Technologies's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Liquidia Technologies' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Liquidia Technologies' share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.19) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.73) | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.356 | Wall Street Target Price 44 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.33) |
Using Liquidia Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Liquidia Technologies from the perspective of Liquidia Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Liquidia Technologies using Liquidia Technologies' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Liquidia using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Liquidia Technologies' stock price.
Liquidia Technologies Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Liquidia Technologies' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Liquidia. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Liquidia Technologies stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 21.6443 | Short Percent 0.1864 | Short Ratio 7.93 | Shares Short Prior Month 14.1 M | 50 Day MA 30.4742 |
Liquidia Technologies Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Liquidia Technologies' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Liquidia. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Liquidia can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Liquidia Technologies. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Liquidia Technologies' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Liquidia Technologies.
Liquidia Technologies Implied Volatility | 1.47 |
Liquidia Technologies' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Liquidia Technologies stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Liquidia Technologies' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Liquidia Technologies stock will not fluctuate a lot when Liquidia Technologies' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Liquidia Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 29.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.78 and the sum of the absolute errors of 47.67.
Liquidia Technologies after-hype prediction price | USD 31.43 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Liquidia Technologies to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Liquidia Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Liquidia Technologies' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Liquidia Technologies' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Liquidia Technologies stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Liquidia Technologies' open interest, investors have to compare it to Liquidia Technologies' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Liquidia Technologies is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Liquidia. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Liquidia Technologies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Liquidia price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Liquidia using various technical indicators. When you analyze Liquidia charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Liquidia Technologies Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Liquidia Technologies' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2016-12-31 | Previous Quarter 173.4 M | Current Value 157.5 M | Quarterly Volatility 54.6 M |
Liquidia Technologies Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 9th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Liquidia Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 29.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.78, mean absolute percentage error of 0.89, and the sum of the absolute errors of 47.67.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Liquidia Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Liquidia Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Liquidia Technologies Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Liquidia Technologies | Liquidia Technologies Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Liquidia Technologies Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Liquidia Technologies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Liquidia Technologies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 25.74 and 33.45, respectively. We have considered Liquidia Technologies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Liquidia Technologies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Liquidia Technologies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.9935 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.7814 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0267 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 47.6669 |
Predictive Modules for Liquidia Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Liquidia Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Liquidia Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Liquidia Technologies
For every potential investor in Liquidia, whether a beginner or expert, Liquidia Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Liquidia Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Liquidia. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Liquidia Technologies' price trends.Liquidia Technologies Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Liquidia Technologies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Liquidia Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Liquidia Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Liquidia Technologies Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Liquidia Technologies' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Liquidia Technologies' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Liquidia Technologies Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Liquidia Technologies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Liquidia Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Liquidia Technologies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Liquidia Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Liquidia Technologies Risk Indicators
The analysis of Liquidia Technologies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Liquidia Technologies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting liquidia stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.97 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.4 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.8 | |||
| Variance | 14.44 | |||
| Downside Variance | 14.67 | |||
| Semi Variance | 11.57 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.98) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.| JBL | Jabil Circuit | |
| MRK | Merck Company | |
| AMGN | Amgen Inc |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Liquidia Technologies to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Liquidia Stock refer to our How to Trade Liquidia Stock guide.You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
Is Pharmaceuticals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Liquidia Technologies. If investors know Liquidia will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Liquidia Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.47) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 11.217 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Liquidia Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Liquidia that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Liquidia Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Liquidia Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Liquidia Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Liquidia Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Liquidia Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Liquidia Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Liquidia Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.