IQ Large Etf Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

LRND Etf  USD 40.27  0.34  0.85%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of IQ Large Cap on the next trading day is expected to be 40.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.03. LRND Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast IQ Large stock prices and determine the direction of IQ Large Cap's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of IQ Large's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength momentum indicator of IQ Large's share price is approaching 47. This indicates that the etf is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling IQ Large, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 47

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of IQ Large's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of IQ Large and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from IQ Large's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with IQ Large Cap, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using IQ Large hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of IQ Large Cap from the perspective of IQ Large response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of IQ Large Cap on the next trading day is expected to be 40.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.03.

IQ Large after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 40.27  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of IQ Large to cross-verify your projections.

IQ Large Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine LRND price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for LRND using various technical indicators. When you analyze LRND charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
IQ Large simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for IQ Large Cap are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as IQ Large Cap prices get older.

IQ Large Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of IQ Large Cap on the next trading day is expected to be 40.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28, mean absolute percentage error of 0.14, and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.03.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict LRND Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that IQ Large's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

IQ Large Etf Forecast Pattern

Backtest IQ LargeIQ Large Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

IQ Large Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting IQ Large's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. IQ Large's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 39.34 and 41.20, respectively. We have considered IQ Large's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
40.27
40.27
Expected Value
41.20
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of IQ Large etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent IQ Large etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.1743
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0044
MADMean absolute deviation0.2792
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0069
SAESum of the absolute errors17.03
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting IQ Large Cap forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent IQ Large observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for IQ Large

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as IQ Large Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
39.3240.2741.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
39.3540.3041.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
39.7540.6741.59
Details

IQ Large After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of IQ Large at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in IQ Large or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of IQ Large, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

IQ Large Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting IQ Large's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on IQ Large's historical news coverage. IQ Large's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 39.32 and 41.22, respectively. We have considered IQ Large's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
40.27
40.27
After-hype Price
41.22
Upside
IQ Large is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of IQ Large Cap is based on 3 months time horizon.

IQ Large Etf Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as IQ Large is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading IQ Large backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with IQ Large, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.03 
0.93
 0.00  
 0.00  
2 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
40.27
40.27
0.00 
2,325  
Notes

IQ Large Hype Timeline

IQ Large Cap is now traded for 40.27. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. LRND is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on IQ Large is about 762.3%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 40.27. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of IQ Large to cross-verify your projections.

IQ Large Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to IQ Large's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict IQ Large's future price movements. Getting to know how IQ Large's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how IQ Large may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
WRNDIQ Global Equity 0.06 1 per month 1.03 (0.02) 1.29 (1.82) 4.02 
BGROBlackRock Large Cap(0.28)2 per month 1.38 (0.07) 1.82 (2.22) 5.38 
MKAMMKAM ETF(0.07)1 per month 0.46 (0.15) 0.66 (0.80) 2.21 
HAUSTidal ETF Trust(0.49)3 per month 0.72  0  1.48 (1.12) 3.83 
WARETF Series Solutions 0.00 0 per month 1.33  0.04  2.29 (2.70) 6.06 
EBITHarbor ETF Trust 0.00 0 per month 0.71  0.02  2.22 (1.53) 4.73 
BUYZFranklin Disruptive Commerce(0.31)1 per month 0.00 (0.17) 1.94 (2.79) 5.72 
INDEMatthews International Funds 0.01 1 per month 0.00 (0.21) 1.19 (1.44) 4.78 
ERETiShares Environmentally Aware(0.14)1 per month 0.69 (0.14) 0.91 (1.17) 2.74 
JHDVJohn Hancock Exchange 0.00 0 per month 0.81 (0.05) 0.99 (1.28) 3.02 

Other Forecasting Options for IQ Large

For every potential investor in LRND, whether a beginner or expert, IQ Large's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. LRND Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in LRND. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying IQ Large's price trends.

IQ Large Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with IQ Large etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of IQ Large could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing IQ Large by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

IQ Large Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how IQ Large etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading IQ Large shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying IQ Large etf market strength indicators, traders can identify IQ Large Cap entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

IQ Large Risk Indicators

The analysis of IQ Large's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in IQ Large's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lrnd etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for IQ Large

The number of cover stories for IQ Large depends on current market conditions and IQ Large's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that IQ Large is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about IQ Large's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
When determining whether IQ Large Cap is a strong investment it is important to analyze IQ Large's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact IQ Large's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding LRND Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of IQ Large to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
The market value of IQ Large Cap is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of LRND that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of IQ Large's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is IQ Large's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because IQ Large's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect IQ Large's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between IQ Large's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if IQ Large is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, IQ Large's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.