Lesaka Technologies Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| LSAK Stock | USD 4.63 0.00 0.00% |
Lesaka Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Lesaka Technologies' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Lesaka Technologies' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Lesaka Technologies fundamentals over time.
As of now, The relative strength indicator of Lesaka Technologies' share price is at 53. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Lesaka Technologies, making its price go up or down. Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.04 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.26 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.36 | Wall Street Target Price 8 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.03 |
Using Lesaka Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lesaka Technologies from the perspective of Lesaka Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Lesaka Technologies using Lesaka Technologies' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Lesaka using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Lesaka Technologies' stock price.
Lesaka Technologies Implied Volatility | 1.75 |
Lesaka Technologies' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Lesaka Technologies stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Lesaka Technologies' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Lesaka Technologies stock will not fluctuate a lot when Lesaka Technologies' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Lesaka Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 4.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.43. Lesaka Technologies after-hype prediction price | USD 4.72 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lesaka Technologies to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Lesaka Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Lesaka Technologies' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Lesaka Technologies' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Lesaka Technologies stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Lesaka Technologies' open interest, investors have to compare it to Lesaka Technologies' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Lesaka Technologies is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Lesaka. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Lesaka Technologies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lesaka price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lesaka using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lesaka charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Lesaka Technologies Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Lesaka Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 4.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.43.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lesaka Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lesaka Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Lesaka Technologies Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Lesaka Technologies | Lesaka Technologies Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Lesaka Technologies Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Lesaka Technologies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lesaka Technologies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.28 and 6.97, respectively. We have considered Lesaka Technologies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lesaka Technologies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lesaka Technologies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.6863 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0051 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0738 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0172 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.4283 |
Predictive Modules for Lesaka Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lesaka Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lesaka Technologies After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lesaka Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lesaka Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lesaka Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Lesaka Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lesaka Technologies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lesaka Technologies' historical news coverage. Lesaka Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.37 and 7.07, respectively. We have considered Lesaka Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lesaka Technologies is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lesaka Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lesaka Technologies Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lesaka Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lesaka Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lesaka Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 2.35 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 7 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
4.63 | 4.72 | 0.21 |
|
Lesaka Technologies Hype Timeline
Lesaka Technologies is now traded for 4.63. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Lesaka is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 4.72 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.21%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.17%. The volatility of related hype on Lesaka Technologies is about 8703.7%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.63. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 659.7 M. Net Loss for the year was (87.5 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 191.5 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lesaka Technologies to cross-verify your projections.Lesaka Technologies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lesaka Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lesaka Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how Lesaka Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lesaka Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RPAY | Repay Holdings Corp | 0.06 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 4.76 | (7.59) | 22.07 | |
| VERI | Veritone | (0.01) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 8.43 | (8.63) | 32.55 | |
| RXT | Rackspace Technology | 0.04 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 4.12 | (6.19) | 37.89 | |
| PDYN | Palladyne AI Corp | (0.16) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 10.80 | (7.57) | 24.47 | |
| BKKT | Bakkt Holdings | (0.07) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 12.23 | (13.07) | 55.99 | |
| GRRR | Gorilla Technology Group | 0.33 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 9.43 | (7.66) | 19.51 | |
| REKR | Rekor Systems | (0.01) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 5.41 | (7.97) | 16.98 | |
| LAW | CS Disco LLC | (0.50) | 8 per month | 2.83 | 0.03 | 7.67 | (4.64) | 22.04 | |
| MVIS | Microvision | (0.01) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 6.38 | (7.45) | 15.60 | |
| NNDM | Nano Dimension | 0.06 | 36 per month | 2.85 | (0.01) | 6.21 | (4.79) | 16.30 |
Other Forecasting Options for Lesaka Technologies
For every potential investor in Lesaka, whether a beginner or expert, Lesaka Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lesaka Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lesaka. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lesaka Technologies' price trends.Lesaka Technologies Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lesaka Technologies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lesaka Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lesaka Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Lesaka Technologies Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lesaka Technologies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lesaka Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lesaka Technologies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lesaka Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0212 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 4.67 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 4.66 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.1 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.04) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 53.0 |
Lesaka Technologies Risk Indicators
The analysis of Lesaka Technologies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lesaka Technologies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lesaka stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.75 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.98 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.36 | |||
| Variance | 5.59 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.39 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.91 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.07) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Lesaka Technologies
The number of cover stories for Lesaka Technologies depends on current market conditions and Lesaka Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lesaka Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lesaka Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Lesaka Technologies Short Properties
Lesaka Technologies' future price predictability will typically decrease when Lesaka Technologies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lesaka Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lesaka Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lesaka Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 76.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 76.5 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lesaka Technologies to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Lesaka Stock please use our How to buy in Lesaka Stock guide.You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lesaka Technologies. If investors know Lesaka will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lesaka Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.12) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.116 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Lesaka Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lesaka that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lesaka Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lesaka Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lesaka Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lesaka Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lesaka Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lesaka Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lesaka Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.