Laird Superfood Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| LSF Stock | USD 3.29 0.18 5.19% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Laird Superfood on the next trading day is expected to be 3.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.33. Laird Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Laird Superfood's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Laird Superfood's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.05) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.21) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.21) | Wall Street Target Price 7.6667 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.04) |
Using Laird Superfood hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Laird Superfood from the perspective of Laird Superfood response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Laird Superfood on the next trading day is expected to be 3.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.33. Laird Superfood after-hype prediction price | USD 3.29 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Laird Superfood to cross-verify your projections. Laird Superfood Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Laird price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Laird using various technical indicators. When you analyze Laird charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Price Transform | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Laird Superfood Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Laird Superfood's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 2019-03-31 | Previous Quarter 3.9 M | Current Value 5.3 M | Quarterly Volatility 20.2 M |
Laird Superfood Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Laird Superfood on the next trading day is expected to be 3.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.33.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Laird Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Laird Superfood's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Laird Superfood Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Laird Superfood | Laird Superfood Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Laird Superfood Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Laird Superfood's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Laird Superfood's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 11.41, respectively. We have considered Laird Superfood's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Laird Superfood stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Laird Superfood stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.3869 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2021 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0695 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 12.3268 |
Predictive Modules for Laird Superfood
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Laird Superfood. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Laird Superfood's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Laird Superfood After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Laird Superfood at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Laird Superfood or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Laird Superfood, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Laird Superfood Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Laird Superfood's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Laird Superfood's historical news coverage. Laird Superfood's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.16 and 10.72, respectively. We have considered Laird Superfood's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Laird Superfood is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Laird Superfood is based on 3 months time horizon.
Laird Superfood Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Laird Superfood is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Laird Superfood backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Laird Superfood, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.38 | 7.43 | 0.03 | 0.47 | 12 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
3.29 | 3.29 | 0.00 |
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Laird Superfood Hype Timeline
On the 23rd of January Laird Superfood is traded for 3.29. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.47. Laird is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.38%. %. The volatility of related hype on Laird Superfood is about 602.6%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.76. About 21.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Laird Superfood was now reported as 1.2. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.18. Laird Superfood had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Laird Superfood to cross-verify your projections.Laird Superfood Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Laird Superfood's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Laird Superfood's future price movements. Getting to know how Laird Superfood's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Laird Superfood may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WYHG | Wing Yip Food | 7.05 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 5.71 | (9.90) | 29.15 | |
| IMG | CIMG Inc | (0.1) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 12.96 | (15.15) | 47.57 | |
| DDC | DDC Enterprise Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 9.01 | (16.67) | 39.80 | |
| ATPC | Agape ATP | 6.62 | 1 per month | 16.48 | 0.02 | 9.76 | (20.91) | 189.71 | |
| PAVS | Paranovus Entertainment Technology | (0.30) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 22.50 | (29.49) | 133.88 | |
| BRFH | Barfresh Food Group | 0.19 | 22 per month | 4.07 | (0) | 7.84 | (6.27) | 26.25 | |
| FARM | Farmer Bros Co | (0.48) | 17 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.97 | (3.90) | 18.04 | |
| GROV | Virgin Group Acquisition | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.07 | 0.06 | 5.26 | (4.41) | 21.04 | |
| BOF | BranchOut Food Common | (0.48) | 3 per month | 3.94 | 0.06 | 7.29 | (7.06) | 19.04 | |
| BRID | Bridgford Foods | (0.17) | 8 per month | 2.55 | (0) | 5.13 | (4.00) | 14.75 |
Other Forecasting Options for Laird Superfood
For every potential investor in Laird, whether a beginner or expert, Laird Superfood's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Laird Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Laird. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Laird Superfood's price trends.Laird Superfood Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Laird Superfood stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Laird Superfood could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Laird Superfood by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Laird Superfood Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Laird Superfood stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Laird Superfood shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Laird Superfood stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Laird Superfood entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 12459.74 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.46) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.95 | |||
| Day Median Price | 3.39 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 3.35 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.19) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.18) |
Laird Superfood Risk Indicators
The analysis of Laird Superfood's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Laird Superfood's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting laird stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.23 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.21 | |||
| Variance | 52.05 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Laird Superfood
The number of cover stories for Laird Superfood depends on current market conditions and Laird Superfood's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Laird Superfood is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Laird Superfood's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Laird Superfood Short Properties
Laird Superfood's future price predictability will typically decrease when Laird Superfood's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Laird Superfood often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Laird Superfood's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Laird Superfood's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 9.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 8.6 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Laird Superfood to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Laird Stock please use our How to Invest in Laird Superfood guide.You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Is Packaged Foods & Meats space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Laird Superfood. If investors know Laird will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Laird Superfood listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.18) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.095 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Laird Superfood is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Laird that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Laird Superfood's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Laird Superfood's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Laird Superfood's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Laird Superfood's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Laird Superfood's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Laird Superfood is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Laird Superfood's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.