Lai Sun Pink Sheet Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

LSIHF Stock  USD 0.08  0.00  0.00%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Lai Sun Garment on the next trading day is expected to be 0.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0009 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.04. Lai Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Lai Sun's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Lai Sun Garment is based on a synthetically constructed Lai Sundaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Lai Sun 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 3rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Lai Sun Garment on the next trading day is expected to be 0.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0009, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000223, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.04.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lai Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lai Sun's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Lai Sun Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Lai Sun Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Lai Sun's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lai Sun's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0008 and 0.85, respectively. We have considered Lai Sun's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.08
0.0008
Downside
0.08
Expected Value
0.85
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lai Sun pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lai Sun pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria68.3393
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -4.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation9.0E-4
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0106
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0359
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Lai Sun Garment 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Lai Sun

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lai Sun Garment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.080.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.070.83
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Lai Sun. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Lai Sun's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Lai Sun's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Lai Sun Garment.

Other Forecasting Options for Lai Sun

For every potential investor in Lai, whether a beginner or expert, Lai Sun's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lai Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lai. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lai Sun's price trends.

Lai Sun Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lai Sun pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lai Sun could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lai Sun by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Lai Sun Garment Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Lai Sun's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Lai Sun's current price.

Lai Sun Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lai Sun pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lai Sun shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lai Sun pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Lai Sun Garment entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Lai Sun Risk Indicators

The analysis of Lai Sun's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lai Sun's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lai pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Lai Pink Sheet

Lai Sun financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lai Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lai with respect to the benefits of owning Lai Sun security.