Latch Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

LTCH Stock  USD 0.16  0.01  6.67%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Latch Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.49. Latch Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Latch's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 4th of January 2026 the relative strength indicator of Latch's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Latch's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Latch Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Latch's stock price prediction:
Wall Street Target Price
5.5
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.197
Using Latch hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Latch Inc from the perspective of Latch response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Latch Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.49.

Latch after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.18  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Latch to cross-verify your projections.
As of now, Latch's Inventory Turnover is decreasing as compared to previous years. The Latch's current Payables Turnover is estimated to increase to 5.30, while Receivables Turnover is projected to decrease to 2.63. . The Latch's current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to increase to about 164.5 B, while Net Loss is projected to decrease to (157.2 M).

Latch Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Latch price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Latch using various technical indicators. When you analyze Latch charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Triple exponential smoothing for Latch - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Latch prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Latch price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Latch Inc.

Latch Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 5th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Latch Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.49.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Latch Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Latch's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Latch Stock Forecast Pattern

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Latch Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Latch's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Latch's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 10.46, respectively. We have considered Latch's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.16
0.17
Expected Value
10.46
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Latch stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Latch stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.002
MADMean absolute deviation0.0083
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0682
SAESum of the absolute errors0.4922
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Latch observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Latch Inc observations.

Predictive Modules for Latch

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Latch Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Latch's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.1810.47
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.071.4911.78
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
5.015.506.11
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Latch

For every potential investor in Latch, whether a beginner or expert, Latch's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Latch Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Latch. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Latch's price trends.

Latch Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Latch stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Latch could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Latch by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Latch Inc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Latch's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Latch's current price.

Latch Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Latch stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Latch shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Latch stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Latch Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Latch Risk Indicators

The analysis of Latch's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Latch's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting latch stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Latch Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Latch's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Latch Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Latch Inc Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Latch to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Latch. If investors know Latch will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Latch listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.48)
Revenue Per Share
0.362
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.197
Return On Assets
(0.14)
Return On Equity
(0.41)
The market value of Latch Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Latch that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Latch's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Latch's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Latch's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Latch's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Latch's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Latch is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Latch's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.