Loews Corp Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

LTR Stock  EUR 86.50  1.00  1.17%   
Loews Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Loews Corp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 30th of January 2026, the value of RSI of Loews Corp's share price is approaching 46. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Loews Corp, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 46

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Loews Corp's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Loews Corp and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Loews Corp's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Loews Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Loews Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Loews Corp from the perspective of Loews Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Loews Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 86.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.67 and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.05.

Loews Corp after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 85.5  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Loews Corp to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Loews Stock please use our How to Invest in Loews Corp guide.

Loews Corp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Loews price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Loews using various technical indicators. When you analyze Loews charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Loews Corp simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Loews Corp are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Loews Corp prices get older.

Loews Corp Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 31st of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Loews Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 86.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.67, mean absolute percentage error of 0.77, and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.05.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Loews Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Loews Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Loews Corp Stock Forecast Pattern

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Loews Corp Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Loews Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Loews Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 85.50 and 87.50, respectively. We have considered Loews Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
86.50
86.50
Expected Value
87.50
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Loews Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Loews Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.017
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0175
MADMean absolute deviation0.6675
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0075
SAESum of the absolute errors40.05
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Loews Corp forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Loews Corp observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Loews Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Loews Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
84.5185.5086.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
79.2780.2694.05
Details

Loews Corp After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Loews Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Loews Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Loews Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Loews Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Loews Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Loews Corp's historical news coverage. Loews Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 84.51 and 86.49, respectively. We have considered Loews Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
86.50
85.50
After-hype Price
86.49
Upside
Loews Corp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Loews Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Loews Corp Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Loews Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Loews Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Loews Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.04 
1.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
86.50
85.50
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Loews Corp Hype Timeline

Loews Corp is now traded for 86.50on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Loews is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Loews Corp is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 86.50. About 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.96. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Loews Corp last dividend was issued on the 21st of February 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Loews Corp to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Loews Stock please use our How to Invest in Loews Corp guide.

Loews Corp Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Loews Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Loews Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Loews Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Loews Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Loews Corp

For every potential investor in Loews, whether a beginner or expert, Loews Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Loews Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Loews. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Loews Corp's price trends.

Loews Corp Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Loews Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Loews Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Loews Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Loews Corp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Loews Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Loews Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Loews Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Loews Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Loews Corp Risk Indicators

The analysis of Loews Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Loews Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting loews stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Loews Corp

The number of cover stories for Loews Corp depends on current market conditions and Loews Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Loews Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Loews Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Loews Corp Short Properties

Loews Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Loews Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Loews Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Loews Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Loews Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding236 M
Dividends Paid61 M
Short Long Term Debt854 M
Forward Annual Dividend Rate0.24
Shares Float209.1 M

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Loews Stock

When determining whether Loews Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Loews Corp's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Loews Corp's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Loews Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Loews Corp to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Loews Stock please use our How to Invest in Loews Corp guide.
You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Understanding that Loews Corp's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Loews Corp represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Loews Corp's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.