Ladenburg Thalmann Pink Sheet Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| LTSL Stock | USD 24.92 0.01 0.04% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ladenburg Thalmann Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 24.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.17. Ladenburg Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Ladenburg Thalmann's share price is above 70 as of now. This indicates that the pink sheet is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Ladenburg, making its price go up or down. Momentum 72
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Ladenburg Thalmann hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ladenburg Thalmann Financial from the perspective of Ladenburg Thalmann response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ladenburg Thalmann Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 24.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.17. Ladenburg Thalmann after-hype prediction price | USD 24.92 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Ladenburg |
Ladenburg Thalmann Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ladenburg price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ladenburg using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ladenburg charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Ladenburg Thalmann Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ladenburg Thalmann Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 24.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.17.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ladenburg Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ladenburg Thalmann's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Ladenburg Thalmann Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Ladenburg Thalmann | Ladenburg Thalmann Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Ladenburg Thalmann Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Ladenburg Thalmann's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ladenburg Thalmann's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 23.63 and 26.21, respectively. We have considered Ladenburg Thalmann's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ladenburg Thalmann pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ladenburg Thalmann pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0473 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1215 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0052 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.17 |
Predictive Modules for Ladenburg Thalmann
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ladenburg Thalmann. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ladenburg Thalmann's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ladenburg Thalmann After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Ladenburg Thalmann at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ladenburg Thalmann or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Ladenburg Thalmann, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ladenburg Thalmann Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Ladenburg Thalmann's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ladenburg Thalmann's historical news coverage. Ladenburg Thalmann's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 23.63 and 26.21, respectively. We have considered Ladenburg Thalmann's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Ladenburg Thalmann is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ladenburg Thalmann is based on 3 months time horizon.
Ladenburg Thalmann Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ladenburg Thalmann is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ladenburg Thalmann backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ladenburg Thalmann, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 1.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
24.92 | 24.92 | 0.00 |
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Ladenburg Thalmann Hype Timeline
Ladenburg Thalmann is now traded for 24.92. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Ladenburg is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.2%. %. The volatility of related hype on Ladenburg Thalmann is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.92. The company last dividend was issued on the 30th of June 2020. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ladenburg Thalmann to cross-verify your projections.Ladenburg Thalmann Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Ladenburg Thalmann's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ladenburg Thalmann's future price movements. Getting to know how Ladenburg Thalmann's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ladenburg Thalmann may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| JYSKF | Jyske Bank AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BKEAF | The Bank of | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 1.24 | 0.00 | 4.79 | |
| CSASF | Credit Saison Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FKKFF | Fukuoka Fncl Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CMPRF | Gentera SAB De | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PHLLF | Petershill Partners PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TKKHF | Tikehau Capital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.25 | |
| BXRBF | Bendigo And Adelaide | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| EFGIF | EFG International AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.40 | |
| EUZOF | Eurazeo SE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.95 |
Other Forecasting Options for Ladenburg Thalmann
For every potential investor in Ladenburg, whether a beginner or expert, Ladenburg Thalmann's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ladenburg Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ladenburg. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ladenburg Thalmann's price trends.Ladenburg Thalmann Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ladenburg Thalmann pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ladenburg Thalmann could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ladenburg Thalmann by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Ladenburg Thalmann Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ladenburg Thalmann pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ladenburg Thalmann shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ladenburg Thalmann pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Ladenburg Thalmann Financial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Ladenburg Thalmann Risk Indicators
The analysis of Ladenburg Thalmann's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ladenburg Thalmann's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ladenburg pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.6025 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.7228 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.29 | |||
| Variance | 1.67 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.88 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.5225 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.09) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Ladenburg Thalmann
The number of cover stories for Ladenburg Thalmann depends on current market conditions and Ladenburg Thalmann's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ladenburg Thalmann is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ladenburg Thalmann's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Ladenburg Thalmann Short Properties
Ladenburg Thalmann's future price predictability will typically decrease when Ladenburg Thalmann's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ladenburg Thalmann Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ladenburg Thalmann's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ladenburg Thalmann's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 149.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 249.5 M |
Other Information on Investing in Ladenburg Pink Sheet
Ladenburg Thalmann financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ladenburg Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ladenburg with respect to the benefits of owning Ladenburg Thalmann security.