LULULEMON CDR Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

LULU Stock   9.30  0.12  1.31%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of LULULEMON CDR on the next trading day is expected to be 9.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.94. LULULEMON Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast LULULEMON CDR stock prices and determine the direction of LULULEMON CDR's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of LULULEMON CDR's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of today the value of rsi of LULULEMON CDR's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of LULULEMON CDR's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of LULULEMON CDR and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from LULULEMON CDR's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with LULULEMON CDR, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using LULULEMON CDR hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of LULULEMON CDR from the perspective of LULULEMON CDR response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of LULULEMON CDR on the next trading day is expected to be 9.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.94.

LULULEMON CDR after-hype prediction price

    
  CAD 9.16  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of LULULEMON CDR to cross-verify your projections.

LULULEMON CDR Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine LULULEMON price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for LULULEMON using various technical indicators. When you analyze LULULEMON charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for LULULEMON CDR is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of LULULEMON CDR value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

LULULEMON CDR Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 14th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of LULULEMON CDR on the next trading day is expected to be 9.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.94.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict LULULEMON Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that LULULEMON CDR's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

LULULEMON CDR Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest LULULEMON CDRLULULEMON CDR Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

LULULEMON CDR Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting LULULEMON CDR's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. LULULEMON CDR's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 6.65 and 11.60, respectively. We have considered LULULEMON CDR's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
9.30
9.13
Expected Value
11.60
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of LULULEMON CDR stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent LULULEMON CDR stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.8901
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1629
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0202
SAESum of the absolute errors9.9391
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of LULULEMON CDR. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict LULULEMON CDR. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for LULULEMON CDR

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LULULEMON CDR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.689.1611.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.268.7411.22
Details

Other Forecasting Options for LULULEMON CDR

For every potential investor in LULULEMON, whether a beginner or expert, LULULEMON CDR's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. LULULEMON Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in LULULEMON. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying LULULEMON CDR's price trends.

LULULEMON CDR Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with LULULEMON CDR stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of LULULEMON CDR could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing LULULEMON CDR by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

LULULEMON CDR Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of LULULEMON CDR's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of LULULEMON CDR's current price.

LULULEMON CDR Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how LULULEMON CDR stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading LULULEMON CDR shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying LULULEMON CDR stock market strength indicators, traders can identify LULULEMON CDR entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

LULULEMON CDR Risk Indicators

The analysis of LULULEMON CDR's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in LULULEMON CDR's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lululemon stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with LULULEMON CDR

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if LULULEMON CDR position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in LULULEMON CDR will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with LULULEMON Stock

  0.74ATZ AritziaPairCorr
  0.91GRGD Groupe DynamitePairCorr
  0.61JPM JPMorgan ChasePairCorr
  0.82BOFA Bank of America Earnings Call TomorrowPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to LULULEMON CDR could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace LULULEMON CDR when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back LULULEMON CDR - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling LULULEMON CDR to buy it.
The correlation of LULULEMON CDR is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as LULULEMON CDR moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if LULULEMON CDR moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for LULULEMON CDR can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in LULULEMON Stock

LULULEMON CDR financial ratios help investors to determine whether LULULEMON Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in LULULEMON with respect to the benefits of owning LULULEMON CDR security.