Legg Mason Etf Forward View
| LVHD Etf | USD 42.08 0.00 0.00% |
Legg Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Legg Mason stock prices and determine the direction of Legg Mason Low's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Legg Mason's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength momentum indicator of Legg Mason's etf price is about 68. This indicates that the etf is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Legg, making its price go up or down. Momentum 68
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Legg Mason hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Legg Mason Low from the perspective of Legg Mason response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Legg Mason using Legg Mason's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Legg using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Legg Mason's stock price.
Legg Mason Implied Volatility | 0.2 |
Legg Mason's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Legg Mason Low stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Legg Mason's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Legg Mason stock will not fluctuate a lot when Legg Mason's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Legg Mason Low on the next trading day is expected to be 42.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.99. Legg Mason after-hype prediction price | USD 42.08 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Legg Mason to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Legg contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Legg Mason Low will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0125% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Legg Mason trading at USD 42.08, that is roughly USD 0.00526 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Legg Mason's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Legg Mason Low options at the current volatility level of 0.2%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Legg Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Legg Mason's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Legg Mason's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Legg Mason stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Legg Mason's open interest, investors have to compare it to Legg Mason's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Legg Mason is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Legg. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Legg Mason Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Legg price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Legg using various technical indicators. When you analyze Legg charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Legg Mason Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Legg Mason Low on the next trading day is expected to be 42.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.99.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Legg Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Legg Mason's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Legg Mason Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Legg Mason | Legg Mason Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Legg Mason Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Legg Mason's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Legg Mason's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 41.46 and 42.57, respectively. We have considered Legg Mason's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Legg Mason etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Legg Mason etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.982 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1772 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0044 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 10.9891 |
Predictive Modules for Legg Mason
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Legg Mason Low. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Legg Mason After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Legg Mason at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Legg Mason or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Legg Mason, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Legg Mason Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Legg Mason's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Legg Mason's historical news coverage. Legg Mason's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 41.53 and 42.63, respectively. We have considered Legg Mason's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Legg Mason is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Legg Mason Low is based on 3 months time horizon.
Legg Mason Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Legg Mason is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Legg Mason backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Legg Mason, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 0.55 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 3 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
42.08 | 42.08 | 0.00 |
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Legg Mason Hype Timeline
Legg Mason Low is now traded for 42.08. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.03. Legg is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on Legg Mason is about 248.87%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 42.05. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Legg Mason to cross-verify your projections.Legg Mason Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Legg Mason's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Legg Mason's future price movements. Getting to know how Legg Mason's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Legg Mason may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| JHSC | John Hancock Multifactor | 0.13 | 5 per month | 0.80 | 0.04 | 1.68 | (1.45) | 4.20 | |
| WCMI | First Trust Exchange Traded | 0.08 | 3 per month | 0.72 | 0.08 | 1.60 | (1.42) | 3.79 | |
| VFVA | Vanguard Value Factor | 0.70 | 3 per month | 0.63 | 0.07 | 2.17 | (1.15) | 4.24 | |
| ONEV | SPDR Russell 1000 | (1.77) | 6 per month | 0.55 | (0.01) | 1.40 | (1.07) | 3.42 | |
| KSA | iShares MSCI Saudi | (0.14) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.54 | (1.57) | 4.78 | |
| BBSC | JPMorgan BetaBuilders Small | (0.45) | 3 per month | 1.09 | (0) | 1.98 | (1.93) | 4.55 | |
| CGIC | Capital Group International | 0.20 | 3 per month | 0.49 | 0.17 | 1.27 | (1.17) | 3.14 | |
| RLY | SPDR SSgA Multi Asset | (0.07) | 8 per month | 0.27 | 0.21 | 1.11 | (0.93) | 2.20 | |
| REM | iShares Mortgage Real | (0.22) | 17 per month | 0.59 | 0.1 | 1.76 | (1.09) | 4.86 | |
| FYC | First Trust Small | (0.67) | 4 per month | 1.18 | 0.02 | 2.04 | (2.10) | 5.20 |
Other Forecasting Options for Legg Mason
For every potential investor in Legg, whether a beginner or expert, Legg Mason's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Legg Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Legg. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Legg Mason's price trends.Legg Mason Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Legg Mason etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Legg Mason could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Legg Mason by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Legg Mason Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Legg Mason etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Legg Mason shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Legg Mason etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Legg Mason Low entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0131 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 41.81 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 41.9 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.55 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.27 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 68.71 |
Legg Mason Risk Indicators
The analysis of Legg Mason's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Legg Mason's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting legg etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.4546 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.513 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.5823 | |||
| Variance | 0.3391 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.3567 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.2632 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.49) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Legg Mason
The number of cover stories for Legg Mason depends on current market conditions and Legg Mason's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Legg Mason is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Legg Mason's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Legg Mason to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
The market value of Legg Mason Low is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Legg that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Legg Mason's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Legg Mason's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Legg Mason's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Legg Mason's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Legg Mason's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Legg Mason represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Legg Mason's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.