Lulus Fashion Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| LVLU Stock | USD 21.37 0.18 0.84% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Lulus Fashion Lounge on the next trading day is expected to be 12.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.57 and the sum of the absolute errors of 156.98. Lulus Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of Lulus Fashion's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.85) | Wall Street Target Price 1 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.03) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.09) |
Using Lulus Fashion hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lulus Fashion Lounge from the perspective of Lulus Fashion response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Lulus Fashion using Lulus Fashion's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Lulus using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Lulus Fashion's stock price.
Lulus Fashion Implied Volatility | 2.5 |
Lulus Fashion's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Lulus Fashion Lounge stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Lulus Fashion's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Lulus Fashion stock will not fluctuate a lot when Lulus Fashion's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Lulus Fashion Lounge on the next trading day is expected to be 12.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.57 and the sum of the absolute errors of 156.98. Lulus Fashion after-hype prediction price | USD 16.14 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lulus Fashion to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Lulus Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Lulus Fashion's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Lulus Fashion's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Lulus Fashion stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Lulus Fashion's open interest, investors have to compare it to Lulus Fashion's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Lulus Fashion is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Lulus. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Lulus Fashion Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lulus price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lulus using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lulus charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Lulus Fashion Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Lulus Fashion Lounge on the next trading day is expected to be 12.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.57, mean absolute percentage error of 12.55, and the sum of the absolute errors of 156.98.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lulus Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lulus Fashion's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Lulus Fashion Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Lulus Fashion | Lulus Fashion Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Lulus Fashion Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Lulus Fashion's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lulus Fashion's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.21 and 24.63, respectively. We have considered Lulus Fashion's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lulus Fashion stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lulus Fashion stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.6398 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.5734 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.3642 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 156.9753 |
Predictive Modules for Lulus Fashion
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lulus Fashion Lounge. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lulus Fashion After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lulus Fashion at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lulus Fashion or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lulus Fashion, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Lulus Fashion Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lulus Fashion's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lulus Fashion's historical news coverage. Lulus Fashion's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.43 and 28.85, respectively. We have considered Lulus Fashion's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lulus Fashion is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lulus Fashion Lounge is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lulus Fashion Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lulus Fashion is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lulus Fashion backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lulus Fashion, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
2.92 | 12.61 | 0.03 | 0.21 | 7 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
21.37 | 16.14 | 25.13 |
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Lulus Fashion Hype Timeline
Lulus Fashion Lounge is now traded for 21.37. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.21. Lulus is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 16.14. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -25.13%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 2.92%. The volatility of related hype on Lulus Fashion is about 17273.97%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 21.58. About 14.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.16. Lulus Fashion Lounge recorded a loss per share of 16.25. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:15 split on the 7th of July 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lulus Fashion to cross-verify your projections.Lulus Fashion Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lulus Fashion's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lulus Fashion's future price movements. Getting to know how Lulus Fashion's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lulus Fashion may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RENT | Rent the Runway | 0.04 | 9 per month | 4.31 | 0.17 | 12.98 | (8.16) | 26.69 | |
| PMNT | Perfect Moment | 0.01 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 8.70 | (6.98) | 27.94 | |
| YHGJ | Yunhong Green CTI | (0.02) | 35 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 8.45 | (9.18) | 23.33 | |
| WKSP | Worksport | (0.17) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 8.23 | (9.03) | 23.80 | |
| KXIN | Kaixin Auto Holdings | 1.13 | 7 per month | 17.48 | 0.05 | 27.56 | (30.11) | 102.40 | |
| IPW | iPower Inc | (0.31) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 14.98 | (17.32) | 57.41 | |
| GTIM | Good Times Restaurants | (0.06) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 5.38 | (5.91) | 29.65 | |
| BYAH | Park Ha Biological | (0.01) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 6.67 | (7.69) | 24.00 | |
| CGTL | Creative Global Technology | 0.19 | 10 per month | 8.64 | 0.21 | 31.58 | (16.47) | 149.10 | |
| JZXN | Jiuzi Holdings | (0.07) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 10.38 | (19.15) | 70.16 |
Other Forecasting Options for Lulus Fashion
For every potential investor in Lulus, whether a beginner or expert, Lulus Fashion's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lulus Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lulus. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lulus Fashion's price trends.Lulus Fashion Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lulus Fashion stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lulus Fashion could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lulus Fashion by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Lulus Fashion Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lulus Fashion stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lulus Fashion shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lulus Fashion stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lulus Fashion Lounge entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 21.37 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 21.37 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.09) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.18) |
Lulus Fashion Risk Indicators
The analysis of Lulus Fashion's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lulus Fashion's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lulus stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 6.31 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.79 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 12.23 | |||
| Variance | 149.54 | |||
| Downside Variance | 24.6 | |||
| Semi Variance | 14.37 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (8.26) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Lulus Fashion
The number of cover stories for Lulus Fashion depends on current market conditions and Lulus Fashion's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lulus Fashion is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lulus Fashion's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Lulus Fashion Short Properties
Lulus Fashion's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lulus Fashion's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lulus Fashion Lounge often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lulus Fashion's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lulus Fashion's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 622 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.5 M |
Additional Tools for Lulus Stock Analysis
When running Lulus Fashion's price analysis, check to measure Lulus Fashion's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lulus Fashion is operating at the current time. Most of Lulus Fashion's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lulus Fashion's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lulus Fashion's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lulus Fashion to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.