Las Vegas Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

LVS Stock  MXN 1,066  35.50  3.45%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Las Vegas Sands on the next trading day is expected to be 1,073 with a mean absolute deviation of 12.43 and the sum of the absolute errors of 733.50. Las Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Las Vegas - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Las Vegas prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Las Vegas price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Las Vegas Sands.

Las Vegas Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Las Vegas Sands on the next trading day is expected to be 1,073 with a mean absolute deviation of 12.43, mean absolute percentage error of 318.32, and the sum of the absolute errors of 733.50.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Las Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Las Vegas' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Las Vegas Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Las VegasLas Vegas Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Las Vegas Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Las Vegas' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Las Vegas' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1,071 and 1,074, respectively. We have considered Las Vegas' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1,066
1,073
Expected Value
1,074
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Las Vegas stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Las Vegas stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.5468
MADMean absolute deviation12.4322
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.013
SAESum of the absolute errors733.5009
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Las Vegas observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Las Vegas Sands observations.

Predictive Modules for Las Vegas

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Las Vegas Sands. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,0641,0661,067
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
989.87991.751,172
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
984.201,0321,080
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Las Vegas

For every potential investor in Las, whether a beginner or expert, Las Vegas' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Las Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Las. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Las Vegas' price trends.

Las Vegas Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Las Vegas stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Las Vegas could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Las Vegas by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Las Vegas Sands Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Las Vegas' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Las Vegas' current price.

Las Vegas Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Las Vegas stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Las Vegas shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Las Vegas stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Las Vegas Sands entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Las Vegas Risk Indicators

The analysis of Las Vegas' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Las Vegas' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting las stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Las Stock Analysis

When running Las Vegas' price analysis, check to measure Las Vegas' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Las Vegas is operating at the current time. Most of Las Vegas' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Las Vegas' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Las Vegas' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Las Vegas to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.