Lowland Investment Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

LWI Stock   125.00  0.25  0.20%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Lowland Investment Co on the next trading day is expected to be 124.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.95 and the sum of the absolute errors of 57.29. Lowland Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Lowland Investment stock prices and determine the direction of Lowland Investment Co's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Lowland Investment's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Lowland Investment's Other Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Long Term Debt is expected to grow to about 36 M, whereas Total Stockholder Equity is forecasted to decline to about 287.8 M.
Lowland Investment simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Lowland Investment Co are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Lowland Investment prices get older.

Lowland Investment Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Lowland Investment Co on the next trading day is expected to be 124.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.95, mean absolute percentage error of 1.42, and the sum of the absolute errors of 57.29.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lowland Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lowland Investment's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Lowland Investment Stock Forecast Pattern

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Lowland Investment Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Lowland Investment's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lowland Investment's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 123.82 and 125.88, respectively. We have considered Lowland Investment's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
125.00
123.82
Downside
124.85
Expected Value
125.88
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lowland Investment stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lowland Investment stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.6266
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1988
MADMean absolute deviation0.9548
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0075
SAESum of the absolute errors57.2905
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Lowland Investment Co forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Lowland Investment observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Lowland Investment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lowland Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
123.88124.91125.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
124.95125.98127.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
122.07124.42126.76
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Lowland Investment

For every potential investor in Lowland, whether a beginner or expert, Lowland Investment's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lowland Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lowland. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lowland Investment's price trends.

Lowland Investment Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lowland Investment stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lowland Investment could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lowland Investment by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Lowland Investment Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Lowland Investment's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Lowland Investment's current price.

Lowland Investment Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lowland Investment stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lowland Investment shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lowland Investment stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lowland Investment Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Lowland Investment Risk Indicators

The analysis of Lowland Investment's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lowland Investment's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lowland stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Lowland Stock

Lowland Investment financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lowland Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lowland with respect to the benefits of owning Lowland Investment security.