Lonza Group Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction
| LZAGF Stock | USD 716.21 27.16 3.65% |
Lonza Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Lonza Group's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 29th of January 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Lonza Group's share price is at 53. This indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Lonza Group, making its price go up or down. Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Lonza Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lonza Group from the perspective of Lonza Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Lonza Group on the next trading day is expected to be 706.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 11.63 and the sum of the absolute errors of 721.18. Lonza Group after-hype prediction price | USD 716.21 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Lonza |
Lonza Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lonza price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lonza using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lonza charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Lonza Group Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Lonza Group on the next trading day is expected to be 706.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 11.63, mean absolute percentage error of 234.37, and the sum of the absolute errors of 721.18.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lonza Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lonza Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Lonza Group Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Lonza Group | Lonza Group Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Lonza Group Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Lonza Group's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lonza Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 704.65 and 709.34, respectively. We have considered Lonza Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lonza Group pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lonza Group pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 125.4053 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 11.6319 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0171 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 721.1804 |
Predictive Modules for Lonza Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lonza Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lonza Group After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lonza Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lonza Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Lonza Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Lonza Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lonza Group's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lonza Group's historical news coverage. Lonza Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 713.86 and 718.56, respectively. We have considered Lonza Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lonza Group is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lonza Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lonza Group Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lonza Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lonza Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lonza Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 2.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
716.21 | 716.21 | 0.00 |
|
Lonza Group Hype Timeline
Lonza Group is now traded for 716.21. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Lonza is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Lonza Group is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 716.21. About 53.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Lonza Group was now reported as 142.97. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.52. Lonza Group recorded earning per share (EPS) of 13.23. The entity last dividend was issued on the 9th of May 2023. The firm had 407:377 split on the 2nd of May 2017. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lonza Group to cross-verify your projections.Lonza Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lonza Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lonza Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Lonza Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lonza Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WUXIF | WuXi AppTec Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.29 | |
| WUXAY | WuXi AppTec Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.98 | 0.02 | 4.38 | (4.15) | 11.08 | |
| HOCPF | HOYA Corporation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.05 | (0) | 5.00 | (5.27) | 16.45 | |
| IPSEY | Ipsen SA ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.96 | 0.11 | 4.09 | (2.11) | 10.60 | |
| UCBJY | UCB SA ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.18 | 0.01 | 2.95 | (4.00) | 10.11 | |
| UCBJF | UCB SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.85 | 0.03 | 7.03 | (5.54) | 14.52 | |
| DSNKY | Daiichi Sankyo Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 3.96 | (4.12) | 10.19 | |
| CHALF | Chalice Brands | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| HLNCF | Haleon plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.91 | 0.05 | 4.25 | (4.20) | 9.42 | |
| DSKYF | Daiichi Sankyo | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 6.37 | (6.88) | 17.89 |
Other Forecasting Options for Lonza Group
For every potential investor in Lonza, whether a beginner or expert, Lonza Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lonza Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lonza. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lonza Group's price trends.Lonza Group Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lonza Group pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lonza Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lonza Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Lonza Group Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lonza Group pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lonza Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lonza Group pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Lonza Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.29 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (8.96) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.96 | |||
| Day Median Price | 717.73 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 717.22 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.0439 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (15.09) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (27.16) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 53.36 |
Lonza Group Risk Indicators
The analysis of Lonza Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lonza Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lonza pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.79 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.54 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.32 | |||
| Variance | 5.38 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.27 | |||
| Semi Variance | 6.47 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.60) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Lonza Group
The number of cover stories for Lonza Group depends on current market conditions and Lonza Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lonza Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lonza Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Other Information on Investing in Lonza Pink Sheet
Lonza Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lonza Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lonza with respect to the benefits of owning Lonza Group security.