La Z Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

LZB Stock  USD 45.77  2.08  4.76%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of La Z Boy Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 44.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.76 and the sum of the absolute errors of 47.23. LZB Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast La Z stock prices and determine the direction of La Z Boy Incorporated's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of La Z's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, La Z's Inventory Turnover is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Payables Turnover is expected to grow to 13.85, whereas Receivables Turnover is forecasted to decline to 7.30. . The current year's Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to grow to about 181.9 M, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is forecasted to decline to about 42 M.

La Z Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the La Z's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1986-04-30
Previous Quarter
342.3 M
Current Value
303.1 M
Quarterly Volatility
97.7 M
 
Black Monday
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for La Z is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of La Z Boy Incorporated value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

La Z Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of La Z Boy Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 44.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.76, mean absolute percentage error of 0.86, and the sum of the absolute errors of 47.23.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict LZB Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that La Z's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

La Z Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest La ZLa Z Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

La Z Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting La Z's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. La Z's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 42.88 and 46.53, respectively. We have considered La Z's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
45.77
44.71
Expected Value
46.53
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of La Z stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent La Z stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.795
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.7618
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0185
SAESum of the absolute errors47.23
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of La Z Boy Incorporated. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict La Z. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for La Z

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as La Z Boy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
43.7945.6247.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
41.5743.4050.35
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
40.9943.0745.15
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
39.1343.0047.73
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as La Z. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against La Z's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, La Z's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in La Z Boy.

Other Forecasting Options for La Z

For every potential investor in LZB, whether a beginner or expert, La Z's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. LZB Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in LZB. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying La Z's price trends.

La Z Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with La Z stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of La Z could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing La Z by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

La Z Boy Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of La Z's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of La Z's current price.

La Z Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how La Z stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading La Z shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying La Z stock market strength indicators, traders can identify La Z Boy Incorporated entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

La Z Risk Indicators

The analysis of La Z's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in La Z's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lzb stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether La Z Boy offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of La Z's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of La Z Boy Incorporated Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on La Z Boy Incorporated Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of La Z to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.
Is Household Durables space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of La Z. If investors know LZB will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about La Z listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.03)
Earnings Share
2.9
Revenue Per Share
48.399
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.029
Return On Assets
0.0521
The market value of La Z Boy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of LZB that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of La Z's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is La Z's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because La Z's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect La Z's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between La Z's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if La Z is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, La Z's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.