Mahachai Hospital Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

M-CHAI Stock  THB 28.50  0.50  1.72%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Mahachai Hospital Public on the next trading day is expected to be 29.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.58 and the sum of the absolute errors of 96.09. Mahachai Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Mahachai Hospital stock prices and determine the direction of Mahachai Hospital Public's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Mahachai Hospital's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Mahachai Hospital polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Mahachai Hospital Public as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Mahachai Hospital Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 25th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Mahachai Hospital Public on the next trading day is expected to be 29.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.58, mean absolute percentage error of 14.98, and the sum of the absolute errors of 96.09.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mahachai Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mahachai Hospital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Mahachai Hospital Stock Forecast Pattern

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Mahachai Hospital Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Mahachai Hospital's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Mahachai Hospital's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.28 and 154.95, respectively. We have considered Mahachai Hospital's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
28.50
29.11
Expected Value
154.95
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mahachai Hospital stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mahachai Hospital stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.817
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.5752
MAPEMean absolute percentage error9.223372036854776E14
SAESum of the absolute errors96.0858
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Mahachai Hospital historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Mahachai Hospital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mahachai Hospital Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.4328.502,878
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.9218.382,868
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
28.2028.6729.14
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mahachai Hospital. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mahachai Hospital's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mahachai Hospital's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Mahachai Hospital Public.

Other Forecasting Options for Mahachai Hospital

For every potential investor in Mahachai, whether a beginner or expert, Mahachai Hospital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Mahachai Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Mahachai. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mahachai Hospital's price trends.

Mahachai Hospital Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mahachai Hospital stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mahachai Hospital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mahachai Hospital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Mahachai Hospital Public Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Mahachai Hospital's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Mahachai Hospital's current price.

Mahachai Hospital Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mahachai Hospital stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mahachai Hospital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mahachai Hospital stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Mahachai Hospital Public entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Mahachai Hospital Risk Indicators

The analysis of Mahachai Hospital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mahachai Hospital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mahachai stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Mahachai Stock

Mahachai Hospital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mahachai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mahachai with respect to the benefits of owning Mahachai Hospital security.