Man Group Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

M3N Stock  EUR 3.02  0.06  1.95%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Man Group plc on the next trading day is expected to be 3.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.94. Man Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Man Group's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 19th of January 2026 the value of rsi of Man Group's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Man Group's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Man Group and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Man Group's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Man Group plc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Man Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Man Group plc from the perspective of Man Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Man Group plc on the next trading day is expected to be 3.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.94.

Man Group after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 3.08  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Man Group to cross-verify your projections.

Man Group Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Man price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Man using various technical indicators. When you analyze Man charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Triple exponential smoothing for Man Group - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Man Group prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Man Group price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Man Group plc.

Man Group Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 20th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Man Group plc on the next trading day is expected to be 3.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.94.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Man Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Man Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Man Group Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Man GroupMan Group Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Man Group Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Man Group's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Man Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1.35 and 4.83, respectively. We have considered Man Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3.02
3.09
Expected Value
4.83
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Man Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Man Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0075
MADMean absolute deviation0.0329
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0131
SAESum of the absolute errors1.9435
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Man Group observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Man Group plc observations.

Predictive Modules for Man Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Man Group plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.373.084.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.453.164.87
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Man Group

For every potential investor in Man, whether a beginner or expert, Man Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Man Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Man. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Man Group's price trends.

Man Group Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Man Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Man Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Man Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Man Group plc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Man Group's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Man Group's current price.

Man Group Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Man Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Man Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Man Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Man Group plc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Man Group Risk Indicators

The analysis of Man Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Man Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting man stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Man Stock

Man Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Man Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Man with respect to the benefits of owning Man Group security.