Mastercard CDR Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| MA Stock | 32.60 0.26 0.80% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Mastercard CDR on the next trading day is expected to be 31.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.47. Mastercard Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, the value of RSI of Mastercard CDR's share price is approaching 39. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Mastercard CDR, making its price go up or down. Momentum 39
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Mastercard CDR hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mastercard CDR from the perspective of Mastercard CDR response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Mastercard CDR on the next trading day is expected to be 31.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.47. Mastercard CDR after-hype prediction price | CAD 0.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Mastercard |
Mastercard CDR Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Mastercard price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mastercard using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mastercard charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Mastercard CDR Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Mastercard CDR on the next trading day is expected to be 31.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41, mean absolute percentage error of 0.25, and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.47.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mastercard Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mastercard CDR's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Mastercard CDR Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Mastercard CDR | Mastercard CDR Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Mastercard CDR Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Mastercard CDR's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Mastercard CDR's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 30.40 and 33.01, respectively. We have considered Mastercard CDR's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mastercard CDR stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mastercard CDR stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.5459 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4109 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0121 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 25.4737 |
Predictive Modules for Mastercard CDR
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mastercard CDR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Mastercard CDR After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Mastercard CDR at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mastercard CDR or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Mastercard CDR, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Mastercard CDR Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Mastercard CDR's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mastercard CDR's historical news coverage. Mastercard CDR's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 1.29, respectively. We have considered Mastercard CDR's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Mastercard CDR is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mastercard CDR is based on 3 months time horizon.
Mastercard CDR Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Mastercard CDR is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mastercard CDR backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mastercard CDR, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 1.31 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
32.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
|
Mastercard CDR Hype Timeline
Mastercard CDR is now traded for 32.60on NEO Exchange of Canada. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Mastercard is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on Mastercard CDR is about 1798.04%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 32.61. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.65. Mastercard CDR last dividend was issued on the 9th of January 2026. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Mastercard CDR to cross-verify your projections.Mastercard CDR Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Mastercard CDR's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mastercard CDR's future price movements. Getting to know how Mastercard CDR's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mastercard CDR may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HME | Hemisphere Energy | (0.01) | 3 per month | 1.93 | (0.03) | 3.05 | (2.79) | 12.29 | |
| DCM | Data Communications Management | (0.05) | 7 per month | 2.03 | 0.15 | 5.49 | (3.66) | 12.40 | |
| BLM | BluMetric Environmental | 0.05 | 5 per month | 2.55 | 0.04 | 5.33 | (4.05) | 15.29 | |
| ASTL | Algoma Steel Group | 0.08 | 9 per month | 3.41 | 0.02 | 6.23 | (6.37) | 20.16 | |
| SMCI | Super Micro Computer | 0.30 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 4.09 | (6.50) | 18.10 | |
| PPL | Pembina Pipeline Corp | 0.14 | 8 per month | 1.29 | (0.02) | 1.47 | (1.55) | 6.75 | |
| DRT | DIRTT Environmental Solutions | 0.00 | 10 per month | 2.83 | (0.01) | 4.21 | (5.21) | 17.43 |
Other Forecasting Options for Mastercard CDR
For every potential investor in Mastercard, whether a beginner or expert, Mastercard CDR's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Mastercard Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Mastercard. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mastercard CDR's price trends.Mastercard CDR Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mastercard CDR stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mastercard CDR could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mastercard CDR by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Mastercard CDR Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mastercard CDR stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mastercard CDR shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mastercard CDR stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Mastercard CDR entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Mastercard CDR Risk Indicators
The analysis of Mastercard CDR's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mastercard CDR's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mastercard stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9499 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.29 | |||
| Variance | 1.67 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Mastercard CDR
The number of cover stories for Mastercard CDR depends on current market conditions and Mastercard CDR's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Mastercard CDR is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Mastercard CDR's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Other Information on Investing in Mastercard Stock
Mastercard CDR financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mastercard Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mastercard with respect to the benefits of owning Mastercard CDR security.