Marketing Alliance Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression

MAAL Stock  USD 1.41  0.01  0.71%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of The Marketing Alliance on the next trading day is expected to be 1.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.92. Marketing Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of Marketing Alliance's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Marketing Alliance's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Marketing Alliance and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Marketing Alliance's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with The Marketing Alliance, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Marketing Alliance hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of The Marketing Alliance from the perspective of Marketing Alliance response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of The Marketing Alliance on the next trading day is expected to be 1.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.92.

Marketing Alliance after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 2.21  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Marketing Alliance to cross-verify your projections.

Marketing Alliance Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Marketing price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Marketing using various technical indicators. When you analyze Marketing charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Marketing Alliance price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Marketing Alliance Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 25th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of The Marketing Alliance on the next trading day is expected to be 1.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.92.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Marketing Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Marketing Alliance's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Marketing Alliance Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Marketing AllianceMarketing Alliance Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Marketing Alliance Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Marketing Alliance's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Marketing Alliance's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 3.34, respectively. We have considered Marketing Alliance's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.41
1.40
Expected Value
3.34
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Marketing Alliance pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Marketing Alliance pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.5124
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0315
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0232
SAESum of the absolute errors1.9239
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as The Marketing Alliance historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Marketing Alliance

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as The Marketing Alliance. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.272.214.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.071.333.27
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Marketing Alliance. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Marketing Alliance's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Marketing Alliance's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in The Marketing Alliance.

Marketing Alliance After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Marketing Alliance at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Marketing Alliance or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Marketing Alliance, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Marketing Alliance Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Marketing Alliance's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Marketing Alliance's historical news coverage. Marketing Alliance's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.27 and 4.15, respectively. We have considered Marketing Alliance's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1.41
2.21
After-hype Price
4.15
Upside
Marketing Alliance is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of The Marketing Alliance is based on 3 months time horizon.

Marketing Alliance Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Marketing Alliance is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Marketing Alliance backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Marketing Alliance, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.13 
1.94
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.41
2.21
56.55 
0.00  
Notes

Marketing Alliance Hype Timeline

The Marketing Alliance is now traded for 1.41. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Marketing is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 2.2073362831858407 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price upswing on the next news is estimated to be 56.55%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.13%. The volatility of related hype on Marketing Alliance is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.41. The Marketing Alliance currently holds 5.38 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.77, which is about average as compared to similar companies. The Marketing Alliance has a current ratio of 1.67, which is within standard range for the sector. Debt can assist Marketing Alliance until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Marketing Alliance's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like The Marketing Alliance sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Marketing to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Marketing Alliance's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Marketing Alliance to cross-verify your projections.

Marketing Alliance Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Marketing Alliance's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Marketing Alliance's future price movements. Getting to know how Marketing Alliance's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Marketing Alliance may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
FXBYFoxby Corp 0.00 0 per month 1.45  0.09  4.07 (2.31) 19.03 
ASXSFElysee Development Corp 0.00 0 per month 2.84  0.09  9.09 (7.69) 22.58 
TDCBThird Century Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 0.91  0  3.30 (2.19) 8.60 
MGTEMarblegate Capital 0.00 0 per month 5.04  0  6.80 (7.89) 20.11 
GLLIGlobalink Investment 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.53) 0.00 (73.91) 73.91 
USMTUS Metro Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.07  0.99 (0.97) 6.09 
HYHDFSixty Six Capital 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.1) 7.44 (7.02) 44.25 
ASCNAbsecon Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 1.02  0.04  1.02 (1.01) 17.41 
TSCHYTrustco Group Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
FPBCFriendly Hills Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 0.47 (0.09) 0.95 (1.33) 5.29 

Other Forecasting Options for Marketing Alliance

For every potential investor in Marketing, whether a beginner or expert, Marketing Alliance's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Marketing Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Marketing. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Marketing Alliance's price trends.

Marketing Alliance Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Marketing Alliance pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Marketing Alliance could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Marketing Alliance by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Marketing Alliance Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Marketing Alliance pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Marketing Alliance shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Marketing Alliance pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify The Marketing Alliance entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Marketing Alliance Risk Indicators

The analysis of Marketing Alliance's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Marketing Alliance's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting marketing pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Marketing Alliance

The number of cover stories for Marketing Alliance depends on current market conditions and Marketing Alliance's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Marketing Alliance is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Marketing Alliance's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Marketing Pink Sheet

Marketing Alliance financial ratios help investors to determine whether Marketing Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Marketing with respect to the benefits of owning Marketing Alliance security.