IncomeShares Magnificent Etf Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| MAGD Etf | 3,118 20.50 0.66% |
IncomeShares Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At the present time, the relative strength momentum indicator of IncomeShares Magnificent's share price is approaching 46. This indicates that the etf is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling IncomeShares Magnificent, making its price go up or down. Momentum 46
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using IncomeShares Magnificent hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of IncomeShares Magnificent 7 from the perspective of IncomeShares Magnificent response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of IncomeShares Magnificent 7 on the next trading day is expected to be 3,118 with a mean absolute deviation of 63.86 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3,768. IncomeShares Magnificent after-hype prediction price | GBX 3117.59 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
IncomeShares |
IncomeShares Magnificent Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine IncomeShares price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for IncomeShares using various technical indicators. When you analyze IncomeShares charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
IncomeShares Magnificent Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of IncomeShares Magnificent 7 on the next trading day is expected to be 3,118 with a mean absolute deviation of 63.86, mean absolute percentage error of 27,956, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3,768.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict IncomeShares Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that IncomeShares Magnificent's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
IncomeShares Magnificent Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest IncomeShares Magnificent | IncomeShares Magnificent Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
IncomeShares Magnificent Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting IncomeShares Magnificent's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. IncomeShares Magnificent's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3,113 and 3,124, respectively. We have considered IncomeShares Magnificent's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of IncomeShares Magnificent etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent IncomeShares Magnificent etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 124.6731 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 7.7109 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 63.8574 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0188 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3767.585 |
Predictive Modules for IncomeShares Magnificent
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as IncomeShares Magnificent. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.IncomeShares Magnificent After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of IncomeShares Magnificent at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in IncomeShares Magnificent or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of IncomeShares Magnificent, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
IncomeShares Magnificent Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting IncomeShares Magnificent's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on IncomeShares Magnificent's historical news coverage. IncomeShares Magnificent's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3,112 and 3,123, respectively. We have considered IncomeShares Magnificent's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
IncomeShares Magnificent is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of IncomeShares Magnificent is based on 3 months time horizon.
IncomeShares Magnificent Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as IncomeShares Magnificent is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading IncomeShares Magnificent backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with IncomeShares Magnificent, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 5.59 | 0.91 | 0.11 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
3,118 | 3,118 | 0.03 |
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IncomeShares Magnificent Hype Timeline
IncomeShares Magnificent is now traded for 3,118on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.91, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.11. IncomeShares is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 3117.59. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 6.16%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.01%. The volatility of related hype on IncomeShares Magnificent is about 49.94%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3,118. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of IncomeShares Magnificent to cross-verify your projections.IncomeShares Magnificent Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to IncomeShares Magnificent's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict IncomeShares Magnificent's future price movements. Getting to know how IncomeShares Magnificent's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how IncomeShares Magnificent may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TSLI | IncomeShares Tesla TSLA | (0.01) | 1 per month | 1.95 | 0.05 | 4.26 | (2.83) | 11.52 | |
| GLDE | IncomeShares Gold Yield | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.14 | 0.04 | 1.65 | (2.43) | 59.99 | |
| AAPY | IncomeShares Apple Options | (0.07) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 1.31 | (1.89) | 6.54 | |
| METI | IncomeShares META Options | (22.88) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.61 | (3.41) | 9.19 | |
| AMDI | IncomeShares AMD Options | 13.39 | 1 per month | 6.70 | 0.03 | 6.80 | (7.31) | 65.34 | |
| AMZI | IncomeShares Amazon Options | (0.20) | 6 per month | 1.38 | (0.01) | 2.37 | (2.29) | 10.35 | |
| NVDI | IncomeShares NVIDIA NVDA | (0.20) | 2 per month | 2.62 | (0.03) | 3.07 | (4.24) | 12.48 | |
| MAGD | IncomeShares Magnificent 7 | (90.77) | 1 per month | 4.52 | 0.0009 | 2.50 | (2.68) | 59.27 | |
| AVGI | IncomeShares Broadcom Options | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.05 | (5.75) | 55.73 |
Other Forecasting Options for IncomeShares Magnificent
For every potential investor in IncomeShares, whether a beginner or expert, IncomeShares Magnificent's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. IncomeShares Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in IncomeShares. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying IncomeShares Magnificent's price trends.IncomeShares Magnificent Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with IncomeShares Magnificent etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of IncomeShares Magnificent could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing IncomeShares Magnificent by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
IncomeShares Magnificent Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how IncomeShares Magnificent etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading IncomeShares Magnificent shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying IncomeShares Magnificent etf market strength indicators, traders can identify IncomeShares Magnificent 7 entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
IncomeShares Magnificent Risk Indicators
The analysis of IncomeShares Magnificent's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in IncomeShares Magnificent's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting incomeshares etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.83 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.52 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.43 | |||
| Variance | 29.43 | |||
| Downside Variance | 25.09 | |||
| Semi Variance | 20.45 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.80) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for IncomeShares Magnificent
The number of cover stories for IncomeShares Magnificent depends on current market conditions and IncomeShares Magnificent's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that IncomeShares Magnificent is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about IncomeShares Magnificent's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in IncomeShares Etf
IncomeShares Magnificent financial ratios help investors to determine whether IncomeShares Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in IncomeShares with respect to the benefits of owning IncomeShares Magnificent security.