Roundhill Daily Etf Forecast - Naive Prediction
| MAGQDelisted Etf | 20.24 0.11 0.54% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Roundhill Daily Inverse on the next trading day is expected to be 20.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.23 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.27. Roundhill Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
Roundhill |
Roundhill Daily Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 14th of December 2024
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Roundhill Daily Inverse on the next trading day is expected to be 20.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.23, mean absolute percentage error of 0.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.27.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Roundhill Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Roundhill Daily's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Roundhill Daily Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Roundhill Daily | Roundhill Daily Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Roundhill Daily etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Roundhill Daily etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.7048 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.234 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0118 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 14.2743 |
Predictive Modules for Roundhill Daily
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Roundhill Daily Inverse. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Roundhill Daily Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Roundhill Daily etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Roundhill Daily could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Roundhill Daily by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Roundhill Daily Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Roundhill Daily etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Roundhill Daily shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Roundhill Daily etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Roundhill Daily Inverse entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Roundhill Daily Risk Indicators
The analysis of Roundhill Daily's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Roundhill Daily's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting roundhill etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.48 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.94 | |||
| Variance | 3.77 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pair Trading with Roundhill Daily
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Roundhill Daily position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Roundhill Daily will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Roundhill Etf
| 0.78 | SH | ProShares Short SP500 | PairCorr |
| 0.76 | PSQ | ProShares Short QQQ | PairCorr |
| 0.81 | SPXU | ProShares UltraPro Short | PairCorr |
| 0.8 | SDS | ProShares UltraShort | PairCorr |
| 0.81 | SPXS | Direxion Daily SP Aggressive Push | PairCorr |
Moving against Roundhill Etf
| 0.86 | ATMP | Barclays ETN Select | PairCorr |
| 0.8 | GBTC | Grayscale Bitcoin Trust | PairCorr |
| 0.77 | AMZA | InfraCap MLP ETF | PairCorr |
| 0.73 | DIG | ProShares Ultra Oil | PairCorr |
| 0.72 | MLPR | ETRACS Quarterly Pay | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Roundhill Daily could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Roundhill Daily when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Roundhill Daily - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Roundhill Daily Inverse to buy it.
The correlation of Roundhill Daily is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Roundhill Daily moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Roundhill Daily Inverse moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Roundhill Daily can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price. You can also try the Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.
Other Consideration for investing in Roundhill Etf
If you are still planning to invest in Roundhill Daily Inverse check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Roundhill Daily's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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