Maj Invest Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

MAJMAK Stock  DKK 234.83  1.32  0.57%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Maj Invest on the next trading day is expected to be 234.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.86 and the sum of the absolute errors of 51.57. Maj Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Maj Invest stock prices and determine the direction of Maj Invest 's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Maj Invest's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Maj Invest simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Maj Invest are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Maj Invest prices get older.

Maj Invest Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Maj Invest on the next trading day is expected to be 234.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.86, mean absolute percentage error of 1.29, and the sum of the absolute errors of 51.57.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Maj Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Maj Invest's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Maj Invest Stock Forecast Pattern

Maj Invest Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Maj Invest's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Maj Invest's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 234.35 and 235.31, respectively. We have considered Maj Invest's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
234.83
234.35
Downside
234.83
Expected Value
235.31
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Maj Invest stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Maj Invest stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.5259
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1228
MADMean absolute deviation0.8595
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0037
SAESum of the absolute errors51.57
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Maj Invest forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Maj Invest observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Maj Invest

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Maj Invest. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
234.35234.83235.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
216.47216.95258.31
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
232.49234.13235.77
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Maj Invest. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Maj Invest's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Maj Invest's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Maj Invest.

Other Forecasting Options for Maj Invest

For every potential investor in Maj, whether a beginner or expert, Maj Invest's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Maj Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Maj. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Maj Invest's price trends.

Maj Invest Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Maj Invest stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Maj Invest could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Maj Invest by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Maj Invest Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Maj Invest's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Maj Invest's current price.

Maj Invest Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Maj Invest stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Maj Invest shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Maj Invest stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Maj Invest entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Maj Invest Risk Indicators

The analysis of Maj Invest's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Maj Invest's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting maj stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Other Information on Investing in Maj Stock

Maj Invest financial ratios help investors to determine whether Maj Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Maj with respect to the benefits of owning Maj Invest security.