Macau Legend Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

MALDF Stock  USD 0.0006  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Macau Legend Development on the next trading day is expected to be -0.0045 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.18. Macau Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Macau Legend's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Macau Legend is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Macau Legend Development value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Macau Legend Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Macau Legend Development on the next trading day is expected to be -0.0045 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000017, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.18.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Macau Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Macau Legend's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Macau Legend Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Macau Legend Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Macau Legend's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Macau Legend's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000006 and 12.29, respectively. We have considered Macau Legend's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0006
0.000006
Downside
-0.0045
Expected Value
12.29
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Macau Legend pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Macau Legend pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria107.1038
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0029
MAPEMean absolute percentage error2.7138
SAESum of the absolute errors0.177
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Macau Legend Development. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Macau Legend. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Macau Legend

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Macau Legend Development. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Macau Legend's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000412.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000612.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00060.00060.0006
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Macau Legend

For every potential investor in Macau, whether a beginner or expert, Macau Legend's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Macau Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Macau. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Macau Legend's price trends.

Macau Legend Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Macau Legend pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Macau Legend could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Macau Legend by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Macau Legend Development Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Macau Legend's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Macau Legend's current price.

Macau Legend Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Macau Legend pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Macau Legend shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Macau Legend pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Macau Legend Development entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Macau Legend Risk Indicators

The analysis of Macau Legend's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Macau Legend's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting macau pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Macau Pink Sheet

Macau Legend financial ratios help investors to determine whether Macau Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Macau with respect to the benefits of owning Macau Legend security.