Magellan Aerospace Pink Sheet Forecast - Polynomial Regression

MALJF Stock  USD 13.71  0.41  3.08%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Magellan Aerospace on the next trading day is expected to be 14.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.84. Magellan Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Magellan Aerospace's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Magellan Aerospace polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Magellan Aerospace as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Magellan Aerospace Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 28th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Magellan Aerospace on the next trading day is expected to be 14.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34, mean absolute percentage error of 0.18, and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.84.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Magellan Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Magellan Aerospace's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Magellan Aerospace Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Magellan Aerospace Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Magellan Aerospace's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Magellan Aerospace's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.77 and 16.28, respectively. We have considered Magellan Aerospace's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
13.71
14.03
Expected Value
16.28
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Magellan Aerospace pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Magellan Aerospace pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.3884
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3416
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0281
SAESum of the absolute errors20.8374
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Magellan Aerospace historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Magellan Aerospace

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Magellan Aerospace. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.4613.7115.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.8713.1215.37
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
11.1012.3113.52
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Magellan Aerospace

For every potential investor in Magellan, whether a beginner or expert, Magellan Aerospace's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Magellan Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Magellan. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Magellan Aerospace's price trends.

Magellan Aerospace Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Magellan Aerospace pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Magellan Aerospace could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Magellan Aerospace by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Magellan Aerospace Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Magellan Aerospace's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Magellan Aerospace's current price.

Magellan Aerospace Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Magellan Aerospace pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Magellan Aerospace shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Magellan Aerospace pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Magellan Aerospace entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Magellan Aerospace Risk Indicators

The analysis of Magellan Aerospace's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Magellan Aerospace's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting magellan pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Magellan Pink Sheet

Magellan Aerospace financial ratios help investors to determine whether Magellan Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Magellan with respect to the benefits of owning Magellan Aerospace security.