Mas Murni Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

MAMI Stock  IDR 50.00  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Mas Murni Indonesia on the next trading day is expected to be 50.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Mas Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for Mas Murni is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Mas Murni Indonesia value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Mas Murni Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Mas Murni Indonesia on the next trading day is expected to be 50.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mas Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mas Murni's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Mas Murni Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Mas MurniMas Murni Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Mas Murni Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Mas Murni's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Mas Murni's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 50.00 and 50.00, respectively. We have considered Mas Murni's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
50.00
50.00
Expected Value
50.00
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mas Murni stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mas Murni stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria-9.223372036854776E14
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Mas Murni Indonesia. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Mas Murni. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Mas Murni

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mas Murni Indonesia. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
50.0050.0050.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
50.0050.0050.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
50.0050.0050.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Mas Murni

For every potential investor in Mas, whether a beginner or expert, Mas Murni's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Mas Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Mas. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mas Murni's price trends.

Mas Murni Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mas Murni stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mas Murni could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mas Murni by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Mas Murni Indonesia Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Mas Murni's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Mas Murni's current price.

Mas Murni Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mas Murni stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mas Murni shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mas Murni stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Mas Murni Indonesia entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!

The Portfolio Architect is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.

Try AI Portfolio Architect

Other Information on Investing in Mas Stock

Mas Murni financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mas Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mas with respect to the benefits of owning Mas Murni security.