Mandarin Oriental Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| MAORF Stock | USD 3.00 0.30 9.09% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Mandarin Oriental International on the next trading day is expected to be 3.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.58. Mandarin Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Mandarin Oriental's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Mandarin Oriental's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Mandarin Oriental hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mandarin Oriental International from the perspective of Mandarin Oriental response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Mandarin Oriental International on the next trading day is expected to be 3.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.58. Mandarin Oriental after-hype prediction price | USD 3.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Mandarin |
Mandarin Oriental Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Mandarin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mandarin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mandarin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Mandarin Oriental Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Mandarin Oriental International on the next trading day is expected to be 3.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.58.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mandarin Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mandarin Oriental's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Mandarin Oriental Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Mandarin Oriental | Mandarin Oriental Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Mandarin Oriental Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Mandarin Oriental's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Mandarin Oriental's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 9.85, respectively. We have considered Mandarin Oriental's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mandarin Oriental pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mandarin Oriental pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.1457 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0086 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1263 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0417 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.58 |
Predictive Modules for Mandarin Oriental
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mandarin Oriental. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Mandarin Oriental After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Mandarin Oriental at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mandarin Oriental or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Mandarin Oriental, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Mandarin Oriental Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Mandarin Oriental's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mandarin Oriental's historical news coverage. Mandarin Oriental's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.15 and 9.83, respectively. We have considered Mandarin Oriental's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Mandarin Oriental is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mandarin Oriental is based on 3 months time horizon.
Mandarin Oriental Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Mandarin Oriental is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mandarin Oriental backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mandarin Oriental, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 6.83 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 4 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 |
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Mandarin Oriental Hype Timeline
Mandarin Oriental is now traded for 3.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Mandarin is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Mandarin Oriental is about 3283.65%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.01. About 80.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.66. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Mandarin Oriental recorded a loss per share of 0.11. The entity last dividend was issued on the 19th of March 2020. The firm had 88:83 split on the 9th of March 2015. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Mandarin Oriental to cross-verify your projections.Mandarin Oriental Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Mandarin Oriental's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mandarin Oriental's future price movements. Getting to know how Mandarin Oriental's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mandarin Oriental may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PNDXF | Pandox AB | (0.03) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.91 | |
| DRTGF | Jet2 plc | (0.03) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 0.97 | (2.25) | 17.03 | |
| WLWHF | Woolworths Holdings Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SDIPF | Frasers Group plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.74 | |
| JBFCY | Jollibee Foods Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 5.01 | (5.07) | 14.32 | |
| YORUF | The Yokohama Rubber | (0.03) | 16 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| JBFCF | Jollibee Foods | 2.20 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 7.25 | (6.07) | 16.28 | |
| SIGCY | SIG Combibloc Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.12 | 0.16 | 3.92 | (3.73) | 12.13 | |
| NHKGF | NHK Spring Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BLWYF | Bellway plc | (0.03) | 14 per month | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.37 |
Other Forecasting Options for Mandarin Oriental
For every potential investor in Mandarin, whether a beginner or expert, Mandarin Oriental's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Mandarin Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Mandarin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mandarin Oriental's price trends.Mandarin Oriental Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mandarin Oriental pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mandarin Oriental could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mandarin Oriental by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Mandarin Oriental Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mandarin Oriental pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mandarin Oriental shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mandarin Oriental pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Mandarin Oriental International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.91 | |||
| Day Median Price | 3.0 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 3.0 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.15) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.30) |
Mandarin Oriental Risk Indicators
The analysis of Mandarin Oriental's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mandarin Oriental's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mandarin pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.64 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 5.34 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.81 | |||
| Variance | 60.96 | |||
| Downside Variance | 220.67 | |||
| Semi Variance | 28.56 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (10.58) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Mandarin Oriental
The number of cover stories for Mandarin Oriental depends on current market conditions and Mandarin Oriental's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Mandarin Oriental is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Mandarin Oriental's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Mandarin Pink Sheet
Mandarin Oriental financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mandarin Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mandarin with respect to the benefits of owning Mandarin Oriental security.