Mark Dynamics Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

MARK Stock  IDR 1,040  15.00  1.46%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Mark Dynamics Indonesia on the next trading day is expected to be 1,053 with a mean absolute deviation of 59.77 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2,510. Mark Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Mark Dynamics Indonesia is based on a synthetically constructed Mark Dynamicsdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Mark Dynamics 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Mark Dynamics Indonesia on the next trading day is expected to be 1,053 with a mean absolute deviation of 59.77, mean absolute percentage error of 4,511, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2,510.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mark Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mark Dynamics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Mark Dynamics Stock Forecast Pattern

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Mark Dynamics Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Mark Dynamics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Mark Dynamics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1,050 and 1,055, respectively. We have considered Mark Dynamics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1,040
1,053
Expected Value
1,055
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mark Dynamics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mark Dynamics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria91.6052
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -22.6485
MADMean absolute deviation59.7703
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0564
SAESum of the absolute errors2510.3515
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Mark Dynamics Indonesia 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Mark Dynamics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mark Dynamics Indonesia. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,0331,0351,037
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
864.91867.341,138
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Mark Dynamics

For every potential investor in Mark, whether a beginner or expert, Mark Dynamics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Mark Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Mark. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mark Dynamics' price trends.

Mark Dynamics Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mark Dynamics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mark Dynamics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mark Dynamics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Mark Dynamics Indonesia Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Mark Dynamics' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Mark Dynamics' current price.

Mark Dynamics Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mark Dynamics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mark Dynamics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mark Dynamics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Mark Dynamics Indonesia entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Mark Dynamics Risk Indicators

The analysis of Mark Dynamics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mark Dynamics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mark stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Mark Stock

Mark Dynamics financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mark Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mark with respect to the benefits of owning Mark Dynamics security.