YieldMax MARA Etf Forecast - Naive Prediction

MARO Etf   8.28  0.01  0.12%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of YieldMax MARA Option on the next trading day is expected to be 6.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.50 and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.09. YieldMax Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 YieldMax Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast YieldMax MARA's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in YieldMax MARA's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for YieldMax MARA stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current YieldMax MARA's open interest, investors have to compare it to YieldMax MARA's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of YieldMax MARA is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in YieldMax. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
A naive forecasting model for YieldMax MARA is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of YieldMax MARA Option value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

YieldMax MARA Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of YieldMax MARA Option on the next trading day is expected to be 6.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.50, mean absolute percentage error of 0.37, and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.09.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict YieldMax Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that YieldMax MARA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

YieldMax MARA Etf Forecast Pattern

Backtest YieldMax MARAYieldMax MARA Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

YieldMax MARA Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting YieldMax MARA's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. YieldMax MARA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.43 and 10.84, respectively. We have considered YieldMax MARA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
8.28
6.63
Expected Value
10.84
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of YieldMax MARA etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent YieldMax MARA etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.9588
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.5015
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.047
SAESum of the absolute errors31.0942
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of YieldMax MARA Option. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict YieldMax MARA. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for YieldMax MARA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as YieldMax MARA Option. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.847.9412.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.148.2412.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
6.4412.0217.61
Details

Other Forecasting Options for YieldMax MARA

For every potential investor in YieldMax, whether a beginner or expert, YieldMax MARA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. YieldMax Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in YieldMax. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying YieldMax MARA's price trends.

YieldMax MARA Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with YieldMax MARA etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of YieldMax MARA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing YieldMax MARA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

YieldMax MARA Option Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of YieldMax MARA's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of YieldMax MARA's current price.

YieldMax MARA Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how YieldMax MARA etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading YieldMax MARA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying YieldMax MARA etf market strength indicators, traders can identify YieldMax MARA Option entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

YieldMax MARA Risk Indicators

The analysis of YieldMax MARA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in YieldMax MARA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting yieldmax etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with YieldMax MARA

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if YieldMax MARA position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in YieldMax MARA will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against YieldMax Etf

  0.83XYLD Global X SPPairCorr
  0.8NUSI NEOS ETF Trust Symbol ChangePairCorr
  0.71BUYW Main Buywrite ETFPairCorr
  0.71AGQ ProShares Ultra SilverPairCorr
  0.69DIVO Amplify CWP EnhancedPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to YieldMax MARA could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace YieldMax MARA when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back YieldMax MARA - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling YieldMax MARA Option to buy it.
The correlation of YieldMax MARA is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as YieldMax MARA moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if YieldMax MARA Option moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for YieldMax MARA can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether YieldMax MARA Option offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of YieldMax MARA's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Yieldmax Mara Option Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Yieldmax Mara Option Etf:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of YieldMax MARA to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
The market value of YieldMax MARA Option is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of YieldMax that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of YieldMax MARA's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is YieldMax MARA's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because YieldMax MARA's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect YieldMax MARA's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between YieldMax MARA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if YieldMax MARA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, YieldMax MARA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.