Masimo Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

MASI Stock  USD 172.96  3.84  2.27%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Masimo on the next trading day is expected to be 167.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 186.16. Masimo Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Masimo's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
As of now, Masimo's Asset Turnover is decreasing as compared to previous years. . The current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to decrease to about 52.5 M. The current Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is estimated to decrease to about 134.2 M.
A four-period moving average forecast model for Masimo is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Masimo 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Masimo on the next trading day is expected to be 167.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.27, mean absolute percentage error of 24.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 186.16.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Masimo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Masimo's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Masimo Stock Forecast Pattern

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Masimo Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Masimo's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Masimo's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 165.23 and 170.03, respectively. We have considered Masimo's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
172.96
165.23
Downside
167.63
Expected Value
170.03
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Masimo stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Masimo stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.9407
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -2.3604
MADMean absolute deviation3.2659
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.023
SAESum of the absolute errors186.1575
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Masimo. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Masimo and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Masimo

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Masimo. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Masimo's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
163.22165.61186.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
153.67156.06186.03
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
133.32154.25175.18
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
118.87130.63145.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Masimo

For every potential investor in Masimo, whether a beginner or expert, Masimo's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Masimo Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Masimo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Masimo's price trends.

Masimo Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Masimo stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Masimo could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Masimo by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Masimo Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Masimo's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Masimo's current price.

Masimo Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Masimo stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Masimo shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Masimo stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Masimo entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Masimo Risk Indicators

The analysis of Masimo's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Masimo's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting masimo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Masimo offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Masimo's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Masimo Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Masimo Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Masimo to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Masimo Stock please use our How to Invest in Masimo guide.
You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Masimo. If investors know Masimo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Masimo listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.10)
Earnings Share
1.45
Revenue Per Share
38.467
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.054
Return On Assets
0.0266
The market value of Masimo is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Masimo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Masimo's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Masimo's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Masimo's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Masimo's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Masimo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Masimo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Masimo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.