Matson Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| MATX Stock | USD 180.14 -3.23 -1.76% |
The Simple Moving Average output for Matson Inc is derived from daily price data across the evaluation window. The error pattern reveals whether the model tracked prices consistently or diverged during volatile sessions. Parameters are re-estimated as new trading sessions are recorded, keeping the forecast current. The Simple Moving Average model projects Matson at 180.14 for the next trading day, at the most recent closing price. Matson's Simple Moving Average forecast is intended for short-term analytical reference.
Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 9th of May
Over a 90-day horizon, the Simple Moving Average model forecasts Matson at 180.14 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 3.14 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.02 , and sum of absolute errors of 188.43 .This represents a very tight forecast — the model closely tracks Matson's recent price behavior. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Matson | Matson Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
The next-day forecast range for Matson defines statistically derived downside and upside boundaries based on model performance. The model places downside around 177.90 and upside around 182.38 for the next session. The narrow range indicates limited short-term dispersion.
Model Predictive Factors
The table below summarizes the Simple Moving Average model's error metrics for Matson stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.0828 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.4597 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.1406 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0189 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 188.435 |
Other Forecasting Options for Matson
Volatility clustering is a well-documented feature of Matson Stock price data where periods of large moves tend to follow other large moves. When Matson's RSI reaches extreme levels, it often precedes a short-term price correction or consolidation. Seasonal patterns in Matson's returns tend to persist when driven by structural factors like earnings calendars or index rebalancing.Matson Related Equities
The peer firms below within the Industrials space frame Matson's pricing and running costs in context. Return on equity across these peers shows how well each firm turns capital into profit. Identifying peers that steadily beat or lag Matson across many periods highlights durable competitive gaps.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Matson Market Strength Events
Accumulation/Distribution and Balance of Power for Matson reveal whether buying or selling pressure dominates recent sessions. Balance of Power trending positive indicates that buyers are consistently closing Matson near session highs. These signals help explain whether price direction and session structure are moving together for Matson.
| Accumulation Distribution | 11502.85 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | -0.39 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 181.18 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 180.83 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | -2.65 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | -3.23 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 57.98 |
Matson Risk Indicators
Risk indicator analysis for Matson quantifies how much price variability the stock has exhibited over the measurement window. Downside variance exceeding total variance indicates that negative moves in Matson have been larger or more frequent than positive ones. Mean deviation provides a more intuitive measure of typical price fluctuation than variance because it stays in the same units as Matson's price.
| Mean Deviation | 1.64 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.88 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.21 | |||
| Variance | 4.86 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.95 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.54 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.75 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Matson Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to Matson Inc matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. A disciplined short-interest review can make timing decisions more informed under rising skepticism.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 31.1 million | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 141.9 million |