Man Wah Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| MAWHY Stock | USD 11.97 1.47 14.00% |
Man Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Man Wah's share price is at 51. This indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Man Wah, making its price go up or down. Momentum 51
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Man Wah hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Man Wah Holdings from the perspective of Man Wah response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Man Wah Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 11.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.22. Man Wah after-hype prediction price | USD 11.97 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Man |
Man Wah Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Man price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Man using various technical indicators. When you analyze Man charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Man Wah Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Man Wah Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 11.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27, mean absolute percentage error of 0.40, and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.22.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Man Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Man Wah's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Man Wah Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Man Wah | Man Wah Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Man Wah Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Man Wah's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Man Wah's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 6.43 and 17.51, respectively. We have considered Man Wah's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Man Wah pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Man Wah pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.3607 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0043 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2703 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.023 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 16.22 |
Predictive Modules for Man Wah
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Man Wah Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Man Wah After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Man Wah at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Man Wah or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Man Wah, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Man Wah Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Man Wah's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Man Wah's historical news coverage. Man Wah's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.43 and 17.51, respectively. We have considered Man Wah's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Man Wah is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Man Wah Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Man Wah Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Man Wah is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Man Wah backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Man Wah, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 5.54 | 0.09 | 0.05 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
11.97 | 11.97 | 0.00 |
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Man Wah Hype Timeline
Man Wah Holdings is now traded for 11.97. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.05. Man is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on Man Wah is about 1146.7%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.02. The book value of the company was now reported as 27.8. The company last dividend was issued on the 25th of November 2022. Man Wah Holdings had 2:1 split on the 22nd of January 2015. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Man Wah to cross-verify your projections.Man Wah Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Man Wah's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Man Wah's future price movements. Getting to know how Man Wah's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Man Wah may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Other Forecasting Options for Man Wah
For every potential investor in Man, whether a beginner or expert, Man Wah's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Man Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Man. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Man Wah's price trends.View Man Wah Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Man Wah Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Man Wah pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Man Wah shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Man Wah pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Man Wah Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.14 | |||
| Day Median Price | 11.97 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 11.97 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.74 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 1.47 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 51.75 |
Man Wah Risk Indicators
The analysis of Man Wah's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Man Wah's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting man pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.35 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.81 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.54 | |||
| Variance | 30.66 | |||
| Downside Variance | 124.48 | |||
| Semi Variance | 14.53 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (8.09) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Man Wah
The number of cover stories for Man Wah depends on current market conditions and Man Wah's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Man Wah is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Man Wah's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Man Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Man Wah's price analysis, check to measure Man Wah's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Man Wah is operating at the current time. Most of Man Wah's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Man Wah's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Man Wah's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Man Wah to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.