Simplify Bitcoin Etf Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| MAXI Etf | USD 12.41 0.95 7.11% |
Simplify Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Simplify Bitcoin's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 3rd of February 2026, the relative strength momentum indicator of Simplify Bitcoin's share price is approaching 35. This indicates that the etf is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Simplify Bitcoin, making its price go up or down. Momentum 35
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Simplify Bitcoin hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Simplify Bitcoin Strategy from the perspective of Simplify Bitcoin response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Simplify Bitcoin using Simplify Bitcoin's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Simplify using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Simplify Bitcoin's stock price.
Simplify Bitcoin Implied Volatility | 1.62 |
Simplify Bitcoin's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Simplify Bitcoin Strategy stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Simplify Bitcoin's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Simplify Bitcoin stock will not fluctuate a lot when Simplify Bitcoin's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Simplify Bitcoin Strategy on the next trading day is expected to be 12.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.62 and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.27. Simplify Bitcoin after-hype prediction price | USD 12.41 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Simplify | Build AI portfolio with Simplify Etf |
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Simplify contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Simplify Bitcoin Strategy will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.1% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Simplify Bitcoin trading at USD 12.41, that is roughly USD 0.0126 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Simplify Bitcoin's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Simplify Bitcoin Strategy options at the current volatility level of 1.62%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Simplify Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Simplify Bitcoin's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Simplify Bitcoin's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Simplify Bitcoin stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Simplify Bitcoin's open interest, investors have to compare it to Simplify Bitcoin's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Simplify Bitcoin is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Simplify. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Simplify Bitcoin Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Simplify price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Simplify using various technical indicators. When you analyze Simplify charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Simplify Bitcoin Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Simplify Bitcoin Strategy on the next trading day is expected to be 12.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.62, mean absolute percentage error of 0.64, and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.27.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Simplify Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Simplify Bitcoin's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Simplify Bitcoin Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Simplify Bitcoin | Simplify Bitcoin Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Simplify Bitcoin Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Simplify Bitcoin's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Simplify Bitcoin's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.01 and 16.81, respectively. We have considered Simplify Bitcoin's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Simplify Bitcoin etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Simplify Bitcoin etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.8214 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1917 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6212 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0398 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 37.27 |
Predictive Modules for Simplify Bitcoin
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Simplify Bitcoin Strategy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Simplify Bitcoin's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Simplify Bitcoin After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Simplify Bitcoin at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Simplify Bitcoin or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Simplify Bitcoin, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Simplify Bitcoin Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Simplify Bitcoin's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Simplify Bitcoin's historical news coverage. Simplify Bitcoin's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.98 and 16.84, respectively. We have considered Simplify Bitcoin's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Simplify Bitcoin is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Simplify Bitcoin Strategy is based on 3 months time horizon.
Simplify Bitcoin Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Simplify Bitcoin is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Simplify Bitcoin backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Simplify Bitcoin, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.73 | 4.40 | 0.04 | 2.44 | 2 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
12.41 | 12.41 | 0.00 |
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Simplify Bitcoin Hype Timeline
Simplify Bitcoin Strategy is now traded for 12.41. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -2.44. Simplify is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.73%. %. The volatility of related hype on Simplify Bitcoin is about 131.54%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.97. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Simplify Bitcoin to cross-verify your projections.Simplify Bitcoin Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Simplify Bitcoin's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Simplify Bitcoin's future price movements. Getting to know how Simplify Bitcoin's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Simplify Bitcoin may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FFIU | Fieldstone UVA Unconstrained | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 0.77 | (1.12) | 2.85 | |
| HISF | First Trust High | (0.07) | 4 per month | 0.08 | (0.28) | 0.22 | (0.27) | 0.63 | |
| XOMO | Yieldmax XOM Option | 0.01 | 4 per month | 0.79 | 0.18 | 2.27 | (1.09) | 5.43 | |
| FUSI | American Century ETF | (0.06) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.57) | 0.08 | (0.04) | 0.48 | |
| XRLX | FundX Investment Trust | (33.16) | 4 per month | 0.49 | (0.08) | 0.73 | (0.85) | 2.37 | |
| SNTH | MRP SynthEquity ETF | (0.09) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.16 | (1.61) | 3.84 | |
| AGGA | Astoria Dynamic Core | (0.01) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.51) | 0.16 | (0.16) | 0.36 | |
| FDFF | Fidelity Disruptive Finance | (0.06) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.58 | (1.88) | 4.59 | |
| CGHY | Capital Group Fixed | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 0.32 | (0.20) | 0.64 | |
| RPHS | Regents Park Hedged | (0.01) | 4 per month | 2.00 | (0.02) | 1.32 | (0.98) | 22.42 |
Other Forecasting Options for Simplify Bitcoin
For every potential investor in Simplify, whether a beginner or expert, Simplify Bitcoin's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Simplify Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Simplify. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Simplify Bitcoin's price trends.Simplify Bitcoin Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Simplify Bitcoin etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Simplify Bitcoin could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Simplify Bitcoin by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Simplify Bitcoin Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Simplify Bitcoin etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Simplify Bitcoin shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Simplify Bitcoin etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Simplify Bitcoin Strategy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 2194.38 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (2.97) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.93 | |||
| Day Median Price | 12.48 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 12.46 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.54) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.95) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 35.88 |
Simplify Bitcoin Risk Indicators
The analysis of Simplify Bitcoin's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Simplify Bitcoin's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting simplify etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.61 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.56 | |||
| Variance | 20.78 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Simplify Bitcoin
The number of cover stories for Simplify Bitcoin depends on current market conditions and Simplify Bitcoin's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Simplify Bitcoin is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Simplify Bitcoin's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Currently Trending Categories
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Simplify Bitcoin to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
The market value of Simplify Bitcoin Strategy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Simplify that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Simplify Bitcoin's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Simplify Bitcoin's true underlying value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Because Simplify Bitcoin's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Simplify Bitcoin's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Simplify Bitcoin's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Simplify Bitcoin represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Simplify Bitcoin's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.