Check Cap Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| MBAI Stock | 1.68 0.21 11.11% |
Check Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Check Cap's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 1st of February 2026, the relative strength index (RSI) of Check Cap's share price is approaching 49. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Check Cap, making its price go up or down. Momentum 49
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Check Cap hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Check Cap from the perspective of Check Cap response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Check Cap on the next trading day is expected to be 1.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.76. Check Cap after-hype prediction price | USD 1.8 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Check Cap to cross-verify your projections. Check Cap Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Check price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Check using various technical indicators. When you analyze Check charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Check Cap Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Check Cap on the next trading day is expected to be 1.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.76.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Check Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Check Cap's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Check Cap Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Check Cap | Check Cap Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Check Cap Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Check Cap's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Check Cap's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 18.51, respectively. We have considered Check Cap's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Check Cap stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Check Cap stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.5007 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0243 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1294 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0702 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.7616 |
Predictive Modules for Check Cap
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Check Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Check Cap After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Check Cap at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Check Cap or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Check Cap, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Check Cap Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Check Cap's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Check Cap's historical news coverage. Check Cap's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.09 and 18.48, respectively. We have considered Check Cap's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Check Cap is abnormally volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Check Cap is based on 3 months time horizon.
Check Cap Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Check Cap is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Check Cap backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Check Cap, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.32 | 16.68 | 0.12 | 0.30 | 5 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.68 | 1.80 | 7.14 |
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Check Cap Hype Timeline
Check Cap is now traded for 1.68. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.12, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.3. Check is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 1.8 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 7.14%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 1.32%. The volatility of related hype on Check Cap is about 7252.17%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.98. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Check Cap to cross-verify your projections.Check Cap Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Check Cap's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Check Cap's future price movements. Getting to know how Check Cap's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Check Cap may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VIDE | Video Display | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| B | Barrick Mining | (0.07) | 9 per month | 2.72 | 0.20 | 4.37 | (4.22) | 12.93 | |
| ISPAF | ISPAF | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 0.39 | (0.24) | 1.20 | |
| TETEF | Technology Telecommunication Acquisition | 0.84 | 17 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GENMF | Generation Mining Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.93 | 0.09 | 8.20 | (7.69) | 25.15 | |
| MARIF | Marimaca Copper Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.37 | 0.06 | 5.46 | (3.51) | 14.35 | |
| CTYMF | Catalyst Metals Limited | 0.69 | 16 per month | 1.81 | 0.14 | 6.56 | (4.49) | 30.39 | |
| HGMCF | Harmony Gold Mining | 0.38 | 3 per month | 1.05 | 0.16 | 5.14 | (1.56) | 20.37 |
Other Forecasting Options for Check Cap
For every potential investor in Check, whether a beginner or expert, Check Cap's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Check Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Check. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Check Cap's price trends.Check Cap Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Check Cap stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Check Cap could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Check Cap by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Check Cap Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Check Cap stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Check Cap shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Check Cap stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Check Cap entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Check Cap Risk Indicators
The analysis of Check Cap's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Check Cap's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting check stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 7.34 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 6.81 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 16.21 | |||
| Variance | 262.85 | |||
| Downside Variance | 61.29 | |||
| Semi Variance | 46.38 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (10.61) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Check Cap
The number of cover stories for Check Cap depends on current market conditions and Check Cap's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Check Cap is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Check Cap's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Check Cap Short Properties
Check Cap's future price predictability will typically decrease when Check Cap's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Check Cap often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Check Cap's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Check Cap's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 265 K |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Check Cap to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Check Stock please use our How to Invest in Check Cap guide.You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Is there potential for Health Care Equipment & Supplies market expansion? Will Check introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Check Cap. Expected growth trajectory for Check significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Check Cap listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Check Cap is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Check that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Check Cap's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Check Cap's true underlying value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Because Check Cap's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Check Cap's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Check Cap's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Check Cap represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Check Cap's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.