VanEck Vectors Etf Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| MBBB Etf | USD 21.70 0.01 0.05% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of VanEck Vectors Moodys on the next trading day is expected to be 21.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.33. VanEck Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast VanEck Vectors stock prices and determine the direction of VanEck Vectors Moodys's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of VanEck Vectors' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength momentum indicator of VanEck Vectors' share price is approaching 49. This indicates that the etf is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling VanEck Vectors, making its price go up or down. Momentum 49
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using VanEck Vectors hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of VanEck Vectors Moodys from the perspective of VanEck Vectors response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of VanEck Vectors Moodys on the next trading day is expected to be 21.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.33. VanEck Vectors after-hype prediction price | USD 21.7 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of VanEck Vectors to cross-verify your projections. VanEck Vectors Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine VanEck price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for VanEck using various technical indicators. When you analyze VanEck charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
VanEck Vectors Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of VanEck Vectors Moodys on the next trading day is expected to be 21.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.33.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict VanEck Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that VanEck Vectors' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
VanEck Vectors Etf Forecast Pattern
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VanEck Vectors Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting VanEck Vectors' Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. VanEck Vectors' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 21.48 and 21.92, respectively. We have considered VanEck Vectors' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of VanEck Vectors etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent VanEck Vectors etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.9934 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0015 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0382 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0018 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.33 |
Predictive Modules for VanEck Vectors
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VanEck Vectors Moodys. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.VanEck Vectors After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of VanEck Vectors at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in VanEck Vectors or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of VanEck Vectors, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
VanEck Vectors Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting VanEck Vectors' etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on VanEck Vectors' historical news coverage. VanEck Vectors' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 21.48 and 21.92, respectively. We have considered VanEck Vectors' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
VanEck Vectors is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of VanEck Vectors Moodys is based on 3 months time horizon.
VanEck Vectors Etf Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as VanEck Vectors is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading VanEck Vectors backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with VanEck Vectors, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
21.70 | 21.70 | 0.00 |
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VanEck Vectors Hype Timeline
VanEck Vectors Moodys is now traded for 21.70. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. VanEck is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on VanEck Vectors is about 916.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 21.70. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of VanEck Vectors to cross-verify your projections.VanEck Vectors Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to VanEck Vectors' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict VanEck Vectors' future price movements. Getting to know how VanEck Vectors' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how VanEck Vectors may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MIG | VanEck Vectors Moodys | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.45) | 0.37 | (0.42) | 1.11 | |
| FLJJ | AIM ETF Products | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.11 | (0.26) | 0.38 | (0.35) | 1.48 | |
| QQXL | ProShares Ultra QQQ | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.56 | (0.05) | 3.20 | (4.20) | 10.49 | |
| MYMJ | SPDR SSGA My2030 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (1.05) | 0.16 | (0.12) | 0.48 | |
| IOPP | Simplify Exchange Traded | 0.07 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 1.30 | (1.73) | 4.33 | |
| BDVG | Litman Gregory Funds | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.53 | (0.1) | 1.04 | (0.86) | 2.91 | |
| QQQG | Pacer Nasdaq 100 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.25 | (0.08) | 1.70 | (2.16) | 5.54 | |
| BUYZ | Franklin Disruptive Commerce | (0.31) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 1.94 | (2.79) | 5.72 | |
| FLYU | MicroSectors Travel 3X | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.63 | (0.01) | 6.14 | (8.15) | 17.41 | |
| FDTS | First Trust Developed | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.39 | 0.13 | 1.48 | (0.98) | 3.46 |
Other Forecasting Options for VanEck Vectors
For every potential investor in VanEck, whether a beginner or expert, VanEck Vectors' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. VanEck Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in VanEck. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying VanEck Vectors' price trends.VanEck Vectors Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with VanEck Vectors etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of VanEck Vectors could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing VanEck Vectors by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
VanEck Vectors Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how VanEck Vectors etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading VanEck Vectors shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying VanEck Vectors etf market strength indicators, traders can identify VanEck Vectors Moodys entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
VanEck Vectors Risk Indicators
The analysis of VanEck Vectors' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in VanEck Vectors' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vaneck etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.1703 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.2121 | |||
| Variance | 0.045 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for VanEck Vectors
The number of cover stories for VanEck Vectors depends on current market conditions and VanEck Vectors' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that VanEck Vectors is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about VanEck Vectors' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of VanEck Vectors to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.
The market value of VanEck Vectors Moodys is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of VanEck that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of VanEck Vectors' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is VanEck Vectors' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because VanEck Vectors' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect VanEck Vectors' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between VanEck Vectors' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if VanEck Vectors is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, VanEck Vectors' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.