Martina Berto Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| MBTO Stock | IDR 154.00 1.00 0.65% |
Martina Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now the value of rsi of Martina Berto's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 13
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Martina Berto hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Martina Berto Tbk from the perspective of Martina Berto response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Martina Berto Tbk on the next trading day is expected to be 154.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 7.84 and the sum of the absolute errors of 478.52. Martina Berto after-hype prediction price | IDR 154.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Martina |
Martina Berto Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Martina price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Martina using various technical indicators. When you analyze Martina charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Martina Berto Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Martina Berto Tbk on the next trading day is expected to be 154.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 7.84, mean absolute percentage error of 111.82, and the sum of the absolute errors of 478.52.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Martina Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Martina Berto's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Martina Berto Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Martina Berto | Martina Berto Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Martina Berto Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Martina Berto's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Martina Berto's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 148.07 and 161.72, respectively. We have considered Martina Berto's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Martina Berto stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Martina Berto stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 122.8274 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 7.8445 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0472 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 478.5163 |
Predictive Modules for Martina Berto
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Martina Berto Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Martina Berto After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Martina Berto at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Martina Berto or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Martina Berto, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Martina Berto Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Martina Berto's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Martina Berto's historical news coverage. Martina Berto's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 147.17 and 160.83, respectively. We have considered Martina Berto's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Martina Berto is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Martina Berto Tbk is based on 3 months time horizon.
Martina Berto Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Martina Berto is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Martina Berto backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Martina Berto, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 6.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
154.00 | 154.00 | 0.00 |
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Martina Berto Hype Timeline
Martina Berto Tbk is now traded for 154.00on Jakarta Exchange of Indonesia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Martina is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Martina Berto is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 154.00. About 68.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 120.73. Martina Berto Tbk last dividend was issued on the 28th of June 2012. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Martina Berto to cross-verify your projections.Martina Berto Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Martina Berto's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Martina Berto's future price movements. Getting to know how Martina Berto's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Martina Berto may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TRGU | PT Cerestar Indonesia | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.85 | (0.04) | 1.53 | (1.51) | 5.74 | |
| BUAH | PT Segar Kumala | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.32) | 1.77 | (2.65) | 8.97 | |
| MAIN | Malindo Feedmill Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.47 | (4.37) | 14.17 |
Other Forecasting Options for Martina Berto
For every potential investor in Martina, whether a beginner or expert, Martina Berto's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Martina Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Martina. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Martina Berto's price trends.Martina Berto Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Martina Berto stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Martina Berto could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Martina Berto by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Martina Berto Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Martina Berto stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Martina Berto shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Martina Berto stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Martina Berto Tbk entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Martina Berto Risk Indicators
The analysis of Martina Berto's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Martina Berto's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting martina stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.97 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.62 | |||
| Variance | 43.83 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Martina Berto
The number of cover stories for Martina Berto depends on current market conditions and Martina Berto's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Martina Berto is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Martina Berto's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Martina Berto Short Properties
Martina Berto's future price predictability will typically decrease when Martina Berto's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Martina Berto Tbk often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Martina Berto's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Martina Berto's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.7 B |
Other Information on Investing in Martina Stock
Martina Berto financial ratios help investors to determine whether Martina Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Martina with respect to the benefits of owning Martina Berto security.