MultiChoice Group Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of MultiChoice Group Ltd on the next trading day is expected to be -3.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45 and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.24. MultiChoice Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
MultiChoice |
MultiChoice Group Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of MultiChoice Group Ltd on the next trading day is expected to be -3.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45, mean absolute percentage error of 0.68, and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.24.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict MultiChoice Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that MultiChoice Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
MultiChoice Group Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of MultiChoice Group pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent MultiChoice Group pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.7313 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4465 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 9.223372036854776E14 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 27.2376 |
Predictive Modules for MultiChoice Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MultiChoice Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MultiChoice Group Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with MultiChoice Group pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of MultiChoice Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MultiChoice Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
MultiChoice Group Risk Indicators
The analysis of MultiChoice Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in MultiChoice Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting multichoice pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8141 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.97 | |||
| Variance | 3.87 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for MultiChoice Pink Sheet Analysis
When running MultiChoice Group's price analysis, check to measure MultiChoice Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MultiChoice Group is operating at the current time. Most of MultiChoice Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MultiChoice Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MultiChoice Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MultiChoice Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.