Micromobility Stock Forward View
| MCOM Stock | 0.01 0 10.00% |
Micromobility Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Micromobility's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Micromobility's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Micromobility fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of Micromobility's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.62) | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.196 |
Using Micromobility hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Micromobility from the perspective of Micromobility response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Micromobility on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.1. Micromobility after-hype prediction price | USD 0.006078 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Micromobility Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Micromobility price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Micromobility using various technical indicators. When you analyze Micromobility charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Micromobility Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Micromobility's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 2020-03-31 | Previous Quarter 71 K | Current Value 15 K | Quarterly Volatility 4.8 M |
Micromobility Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 19th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Micromobility on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000426, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.1.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Micromobility Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Micromobility's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Micromobility Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Micromobility | Micromobility Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Micromobility Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Micromobility's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Micromobility's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.00009 and 21.54, respectively. We have considered Micromobility's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Micromobility stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Micromobility stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 107.5829 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0016 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.14 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0964 |
Predictive Modules for Micromobility
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Micromobility. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Micromobility After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Micromobility at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Micromobility or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Micromobility, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Micromobility Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Micromobility's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Micromobility's historical news coverage. Micromobility's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 21.54, respectively. We have considered Micromobility's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Micromobility is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Micromobility is based on 3 months time horizon.
Micromobility Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Micromobility is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Micromobility backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Micromobility, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
2.08 | 21.53 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.01 | 0.01 | 32.47 |
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Micromobility Hype Timeline
Micromobility is now traded for 0.01. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Micromobility is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.006078. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -32.47%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 2.08%. The volatility of related hype on Micromobility is about 1.9377E7%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.01. About 51.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Micromobility had 1:150 split on the 4th of December 2023. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Micromobility to cross-verify your projections.Micromobility Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Micromobility's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Micromobility's future price movements. Getting to know how Micromobility's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Micromobility may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GTLA | Gt Legend Automotive | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MWWC | Marketing Worldwide | 0.00 | 0 per month | 12.06 | 0.12 | 33.33 | (25.00) | 440.00 | |
| LMPX | Lmp Automotive Holdings | 0.00 | 1 per month | 10.16 | 0.09 | 16.00 | (11.42) | 66.38 | |
| DHHXF | Desarrolladora Homex SAB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ELCR | Electric Car | 0.00 | 10 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SKFG | Stark Focus Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 9.37 | 0.09 | 29.41 | (19.67) | 105.44 | |
| FBCD | Fbc Hldg | 0.00 | 0 per month | 17.21 | 0.14 | 100.00 | (50.00) | 150.00 | |
| ELEK | China Xuefeng Environmental | 0.00 | 0 per month | 17.07 | 0.11 | 95.12 | (50.00) | 150.00 | |
| AGRS | Agristar | (0) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 99.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Micromobility
For every potential investor in Micromobility, whether a beginner or expert, Micromobility's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Micromobility Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Micromobility. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Micromobility's price trends.Micromobility Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Micromobility stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Micromobility could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Micromobility by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Micromobility Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Micromobility stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Micromobility shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Micromobility stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Micromobility entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 262.41 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.91) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.9 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.0084 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.0086 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0) |
Micromobility Risk Indicators
The analysis of Micromobility's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Micromobility's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting micromobility stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 16.09 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 16.22 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 23.21 | |||
| Variance | 538.53 | |||
| Downside Variance | 658.49 | |||
| Semi Variance | 263.04 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (26.51) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Micromobility
The number of cover stories for Micromobility depends on current market conditions and Micromobility's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Micromobility is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Micromobility's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Micromobility Short Properties
Micromobility's future price predictability will typically decrease when Micromobility's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Micromobility often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Micromobility's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Micromobility's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 68 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 84 K |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Micromobility to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Micromobility Stock, please use our How to Invest in Micromobility guide.You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.
Will Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods sector continue expanding? Could Micromobility diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Micromobility. Expected growth trajectory for Micromobility significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Micromobility data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.62) | Earnings Share 0.06 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.196 | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate Micromobility using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Micromobility's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Micromobility's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Micromobility's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Micromobility represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Micromobility's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.