Medicover Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

MCOV-B Stock  SEK 213.50  1.50  0.70%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Medicover AB on the next trading day is expected to be 218.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.80 and the sum of the absolute errors of 231.85. Medicover Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Medicover stock prices and determine the direction of Medicover AB's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Medicover's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the value of rsi of Medicover's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Medicover's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Medicover AB, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Medicover hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Medicover AB from the perspective of Medicover response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Medicover AB on the next trading day is expected to be 218.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.80 and the sum of the absolute errors of 231.85.

Medicover after-hype prediction price

    
  SEK 215.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Medicover to cross-verify your projections.

Medicover Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Medicover price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Medicover using various technical indicators. When you analyze Medicover charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Medicover is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Medicover AB value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Medicover Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 14th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Medicover AB on the next trading day is expected to be 218.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.80, mean absolute percentage error of 18.61, and the sum of the absolute errors of 231.85.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Medicover Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Medicover's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Medicover Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest MedicoverMedicover Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Medicover Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Medicover's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Medicover's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 216.78 and 219.66, respectively. We have considered Medicover's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
213.50
216.78
Downside
218.22
Expected Value
219.66
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Medicover stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Medicover stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.0342
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation3.8008
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0161
SAESum of the absolute errors231.8495
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Medicover AB. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Medicover. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Medicover

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Medicover AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
213.56215.00216.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
187.88189.31236.50
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Medicover

For every potential investor in Medicover, whether a beginner or expert, Medicover's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Medicover Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Medicover. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Medicover's price trends.

Medicover Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Medicover stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Medicover could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Medicover by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Medicover AB Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Medicover's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Medicover's current price.

Medicover Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Medicover stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Medicover shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Medicover stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Medicover AB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Medicover Risk Indicators

The analysis of Medicover's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Medicover's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting medicover stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Other Information on Investing in Medicover Stock

Medicover financial ratios help investors to determine whether Medicover Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Medicover with respect to the benefits of owning Medicover security.