Media Capital Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average
| MCP Stock | EUR 1.90 0.00 0.00% |
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Media Capital on the next trading day is expected to be 1.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.09. Media Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of Media Capital's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Media Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Media Capital from the perspective of Media Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Media Capital on the next trading day is expected to be 1.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.09. Media Capital after-hype prediction price | EUR 1.9 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Media |
Media Capital Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Media price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Media using various technical indicators. When you analyze Media charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Media Capital 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Media Capital on the next trading day is expected to be 1.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000045, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.09.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Media Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Media Capital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Media Capital Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Media Capital | Media Capital Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Media Capital Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Media Capital's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Media Capital's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1.32 and 2.48, respectively. We have considered Media Capital's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Media Capital stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Media Capital stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 71.3429 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0023 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0023 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0012 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0945 |
Predictive Modules for Media Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Media Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Media Capital After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Media Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Media Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Media Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Media Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Media Capital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Media Capital's historical news coverage. Media Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.32 and 2.48, respectively. We have considered Media Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Media Capital is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Media Capital is based on 3 months time horizon.
Media Capital Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Media Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Media Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Media Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.90 | 1.90 | 0.00 |
|
Media Capital Hype Timeline
Media Capital is now traded for 1.90on Euronext Lisbon of Portugal. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Media is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on Media Capital is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.90. About 97.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.06. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Media Capital last dividend was issued on the 7th of July 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Media Capital to cross-verify your projections.Media Capital Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Media Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Media Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how Media Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Media Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SLBEN | Benfica | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.29 | (0.02) | 1.68 | (1.88) | 7.39 | |
| SCP | Sporting Clube de | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.00 | (1.98) | 4.96 | |
| FCP | Futebol Clube do | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.82 | 0.08 | 9.52 | (9.09) | 33.78 | |
| SCB | Sporting Clube de | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.00 | |
| PHR | Pharol SGPS SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 4.33 | (3.00) | 10.30 | |
| IPR | Impresa Sociedade | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 5.26 | (5.00) | 16.11 |
Other Forecasting Options for Media Capital
For every potential investor in Media, whether a beginner or expert, Media Capital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Media Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Media. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Media Capital's price trends.Media Capital Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Media Capital stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Media Capital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Media Capital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Media Capital Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Media Capital stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Media Capital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Media Capital stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Media Capital entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Media Capital Risk Indicators
The analysis of Media Capital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Media Capital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting media stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.1435 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.5744 | |||
| Variance | 0.3299 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Media Capital
The number of cover stories for Media Capital depends on current market conditions and Media Capital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Media Capital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Media Capital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Additional Tools for Media Stock Analysis
When running Media Capital's price analysis, check to measure Media Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Media Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Media Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Media Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Media Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Media Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.