McRae Industries Pink Sheet Forward View
| MCRAB Stock | USD 44.00 0.00 0.00% |
McRae Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast McRae Industries stock prices and determine the direction of McRae Industries's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of McRae Industries' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of McRae Industries' share price is approaching 39. This indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling McRae Industries, making its price go up or down. Momentum 39
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using McRae Industries hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of McRae Industries from the perspective of McRae Industries response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of McRae Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 44.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.08. McRae Industries after-hype prediction price | USD 44.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
McRae |
McRae Industries Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine McRae price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for McRae using various technical indicators. When you analyze McRae charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
McRae Industries Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 5th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of McRae Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 44.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.08.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict McRae Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that McRae Industries' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
McRae Industries Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest McRae Industries | McRae Industries Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
McRae Industries Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting McRae Industries' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. McRae Industries' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 44.01 and 44.42, respectively. We have considered McRae Industries' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of McRae Industries pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent McRae Industries pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.9447 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0997 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0023 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 6.0787 |
Predictive Modules for McRae Industries
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as McRae Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.McRae Industries After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of McRae Industries at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in McRae Industries or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of McRae Industries, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
McRae Industries Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting McRae Industries' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on McRae Industries' historical news coverage. McRae Industries' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 43.79 and 44.21, respectively. We have considered McRae Industries' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
McRae Industries is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of McRae Industries is based on 3 months time horizon.
McRae Industries Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as McRae Industries is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading McRae Industries backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with McRae Industries, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
44.00 | 44.00 | 0.00 |
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McRae Industries Hype Timeline
McRae Industries is now traded for 44.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. McRae is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on McRae Industries is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 44.00. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.95. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. McRae Industries last dividend was issued on the 13th of December 2022. The entity had 1:200 split on the 2nd of December 2005. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of McRae Industries to cross-verify your projections.McRae Industries Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to McRae Industries' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict McRae Industries' future price movements. Getting to know how McRae Industries' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how McRae Industries may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DPNEY | Daphne International Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GXSBY | Geox SpA ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.64 | |
| NOBH | Nobility Homes | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.00 | (0.01) | 4.69 | (7.44) | 22.88 | |
| RROTF | Roots | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.28 | (0.03) | 2.21 | (1.28) | 11.69 | |
| VCCTF | Victoria plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 7.69 | (16.36) | 45.68 | |
| ASNXF | Asante Incorporated | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ESHDF | Esprit Holdings Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| VKSC | Viskase Companies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 8.43 | (8.33) | 37.47 | |
| HENGF | Hengdeli Holdings Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.28 | |
| TFRFF | Tefron | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for McRae Industries
For every potential investor in McRae, whether a beginner or expert, McRae Industries' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. McRae Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in McRae. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying McRae Industries' price trends.McRae Industries Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with McRae Industries pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of McRae Industries could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing McRae Industries by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
McRae Industries Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how McRae Industries pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading McRae Industries shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying McRae Industries pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify McRae Industries entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
McRae Industries Risk Indicators
The analysis of McRae Industries' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in McRae Industries' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mcrae pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.0528 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.1956 | |||
| Variance | 0.0383 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for McRae Industries
The number of cover stories for McRae Industries depends on current market conditions and McRae Industries' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that McRae Industries is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about McRae Industries' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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McRae Industries Short Properties
McRae Industries' future price predictability will typically decrease when McRae Industries' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of McRae Industries often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential McRae Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. McRae Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividends Paid | 1.2 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.56 |
Other Information on Investing in McRae Pink Sheet
McRae Industries financial ratios help investors to determine whether McRae Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in McRae with respect to the benefits of owning McRae Industries security.