Spectral Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

MDAI Stock   1.19  0.05  4.39%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Spectral AI on the next trading day is expected to be 1.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.20. Spectral Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Spectral's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
As of now, Spectral's Payables Turnover is decreasing as compared to previous years. The Spectral's current Receivables Turnover is estimated to increase to 9.72, while Inventory Turnover is projected to decrease to 35.39. . The current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to decrease to about 13.3 M. The current Net Loss is estimated to decrease to about (2.8 M).
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Spectral is based on an artificially constructed time series of Spectral daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Spectral 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Spectral AI on the next trading day is expected to be 1.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.20.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Spectral Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Spectral's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Spectral Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest SpectralSpectral Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Spectral Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Spectral's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Spectral's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 7.81, respectively. We have considered Spectral's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.19
1.25
Expected Value
7.81
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Spectral stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Spectral stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria99.2278
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0135
MADMean absolute deviation0.0982
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0815
SAESum of the absolute errors5.2038
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Spectral AI 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Spectral

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Spectral AI. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.197.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.112.238.75
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
5.035.536.14
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Spectral. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Spectral's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Spectral's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Spectral AI.

Other Forecasting Options for Spectral

For every potential investor in Spectral, whether a beginner or expert, Spectral's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Spectral Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Spectral. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Spectral's price trends.

Spectral Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Spectral stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Spectral could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Spectral by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Spectral AI Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Spectral's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Spectral's current price.

Spectral Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Spectral stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Spectral shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Spectral stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Spectral AI entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Spectral Risk Indicators

The analysis of Spectral's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Spectral's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting spectral stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Spectral AI is a strong investment it is important to analyze Spectral's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Spectral's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Spectral Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Spectral to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Spectral. If investors know Spectral will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Spectral listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.63)
Revenue Per Share
1.6
Quarterly Revenue Growth
1.376
Return On Assets
(0.44)
Return On Equity
(23.08)
The market value of Spectral AI is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Spectral that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Spectral's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Spectral's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Spectral's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Spectral's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Spectral's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Spectral is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Spectral's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.